0x6c47…bcb4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6c472c42eac19a5b0cb31758423606995af8bcb4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.7pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

62% @ 58.5¢

Brier

0.174

Resolved

926

Avg size

$646

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (81/141)	+9%	141
Sports	79% (11/14)	-3%	14
Politics	50% (3/6)	-14%	6
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+25%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+60%	1

Other141 bets
Hit rate
57% (81/141)
ROI
+9%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
79% (11/14)
ROI
-3%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-14%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+25%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+60%

Track record

60% hit · 97/163

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	India	$1.0k	77.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?	Yes	$6.7k	73.8¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$4.1k	81.2¢	Won
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$100	79.0¢	Won
Solana above $210 on November 22?	Yes	$975	65.0¢	Won
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?	Yes	$840	80.0¢	Won
Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India	India	$390	77.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$4.9k	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$8.9k	82.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	Yes	$662	63.0¢	Lost
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?	No	$548	32.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $90,000 by Wednesday?	Yes	$591	57.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	$2.5k	85.7¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?	No	$1.4k	83.0¢	Won
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan	India	$5.0k	87.6¢	Won
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?	Yes	$6.1k	68.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	$106	88.0¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$48	11.8¢	Lost
Ethereum above $2,000 on March 28?	Yes	$2.3k	49.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?	No	$484	57.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?	Yes	$601	59.8¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Morocco	$203	53.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	Yes	$830	11.1¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?	No	$3.2k	77.4¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?	Yes	$7.7k	38.7¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?	Yes	$120	24.0¢	Lost
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies	India	$2.0k	82.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?	$100k	$10.0k	88.7¢	Lost
Solana above $130 on March 21?	Yes	$102	34.0¢	Lost
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$302	79.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?	No	$2.6k	72.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?	No	$3.4k	72.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?	Yes	$1.2k	18.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?	No	$1.3k	25.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?	Yes	$23.7k	81.5¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1700 and $1800 on Apr 25?	Yes	$660	33.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Wednesday?	No	$1.1k	78.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Wednesday?	Yes	$5.9k	61.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?	$80k	$978	47.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?	$90k	$6.4k	60.7¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?	No	$462	42.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?	Yes	$682	60.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?	No	$880	44.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$693	82.7¢	Won
Bitcoin above $108,000 on July 11?	Yes	$97	60.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?	No	$15.9k	67.2¢	Won
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?	Yes	$44.9k	57.5¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$439	69.0¢	Lost
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?	No	$5.4k	80.6¢	Won
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$358	71.0¢	Won

West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesLost
India$1.0k @ 77.0¢
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Won
Yes$6.7k @ 73.8¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 81.2¢
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers HyderabadWon
Sunrisers Hyderabad$100 @ 79.0¢
Solana above $210 on November 22?Won
Yes$975 @ 65.0¢
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?Won
Yes$840 @ 80.0¢
Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs IndiaWon
India$390 @ 77.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$4.9k @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
No$8.9k @ 82.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$662 @ 63.0¢
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?Lost
No$548 @ 32.5¢
Will Bitcoin hit $90,000 by Wednesday?Lost
Yes$591 @ 57.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 85.7¢
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?Won
No$1.4k @ 83.0¢
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs AfghanistanWon
India$5.0k @ 87.6¢
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?Won
Yes$6.1k @ 68.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?Won
Yes$106 @ 88.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$48 @ 11.8¢
Ethereum above $2,000 on March 28?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 49.9¢
Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?Lost
No$484 @ 57.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?Won
Yes$601 @ 59.8¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWon
Morocco$203 @ 53.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Lost
Yes$830 @ 11.1¢
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?Won
No$3.2k @ 77.4¢
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?Lost
Yes$7.7k @ 38.7¢
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?Lost
Yes$120 @ 24.0¢
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West IndiesWon
India$2.0k @ 82.8¢
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?Lost
$100k$10.0k @ 88.7¢
Solana above $130 on March 21?Lost
Yes$102 @ 34.0¢
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
Yes$302 @ 79.0¢
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?Lost
No$2.6k @ 72.5¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?Lost
No$3.4k @ 72.3¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 18.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?Lost
No$1.3k @ 25.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?Won
Yes$23.7k @ 81.5¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1700 and $1800 on Apr 25?Lost
Yes$660 @ 33.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Wednesday?Lost
No$1.1k @ 78.1¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Wednesday?Won
Yes$5.9k @ 61.5¢
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?Won
$80k$978 @ 47.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?Lost
$90k$6.4k @ 60.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Won
No$462 @ 42.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?Lost
Yes$682 @ 60.6¢
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Lost
No$880 @ 44.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
No$693 @ 82.7¢
Bitcoin above $108,000 on July 11?Won
Yes$97 @ 60.0¢
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Won
No$15.9k @ 67.2¢
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Lost
Yes$44.9k @ 57.5¢
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?Lost
Yes$439 @ 69.0¢
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?Won
No$5.4k @ 80.6¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Won
Yes$358 @ 71.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	Sports	India	$1.0k	77.0¢

West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesSports
India$1.0k @ 77.0¢