0x6c43…fb9b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6c439f2c136efab50b08cd8a52de3dfb070dfb9b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.0pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

40% @ 36.6¢

Brier

0.154

Resolved

3977

Avg size

$90

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (425/1162)	-11%	1162
Sports	42% (72/170)	-3%	170
Politics	20% (6/30)	-95%	30
Culture	61% (11/18)	+7%	18

Other1162 bets
Hit rate
37% (425/1162)
ROI
-11%
Sports170 bets
Hit rate
42% (72/170)
ROI
-3%
Politics30 bets
Hit rate
20% (6/30)
ROI
-95%
Culture18 bets
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
ROI
+7%

Track record

37% hit · 514/1380

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Under	$17	41.0¢	Lost
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	$77	40.8¢	Lost
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: 1H Moneyline	Buccaneers	$155	26.0¢	Lost
Will Court McGee win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$1.9k	37.0¢	Lost
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 10% or more?	Yes	$4	4.5¢	Lost
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	$47	6.0¢	Lost
Spread: Bills (-21.5)	Bills	$440	44.0¢	Lost
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$15	41.0¢	Lost
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	$400	20.0¢	Lost
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	$5	53.0¢	Lost
Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	$48	6.0¢	Lost
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	No	$430	43.0¢	Lost
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	$7	37.0¢	Lost
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	$250	5.0¢	Lost
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5	Over	$5	40.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In	Team Envy	$574	29.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)	Team Falcons	$3.6k	64.6¢	Lost
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5	Under	$222	38.0¢	Lost
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	$86	58.0¢	Lost
Will Vitality Make the Grand Finals at BLAST Open Porto 2026?	Yes	$7	32.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	GamerLegion	$2.4k	39.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	GamerLegion	$831	43.8¢	Lost
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	$184	7.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	Natus Vincere	$236	66.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	$37	1.7¢	Lost
Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5	Over	$12	41.0¢	Lost
Will VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	$90	3.0¢	Lost
Will AfD win less than 32% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$9	2.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winner	paiN	$18	8.0¢	Lost
Set 2 Winner: Frech vs Rybakina	Frech	$5	16.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	Vitality	$5.0k	37.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	G2	$5.3k	40.5¢	Lost
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	No	$134	80.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	FURIA	$3.7k	41.8¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winner	paiN	$11	17.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?	No	$101	4.0¢	Lost
Will CDU win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$10	1.4¢	Lost
Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	No	$7	87.0¢	Lost
Will Kai or Speed die to a Wither?	Yes	$315	63.0¢	Lost
Will Aurora Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	Yes	$20	1.4¢	Lost
Will Kai or Speed die to a zombie?	Yes	$67	82.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	M80	$1.7k	34.0¢	Lost
Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?	Yes	$170	88.5¢	Lost
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	$74	19.0¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	No	$3.2k	66.3¢	Lost
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 187.5	Over	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)	Lynn Vision	$2.6k	47.3¢	Lost
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Over	$2	42.0¢	Lost

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?Lost
Under$17 @ 41.0¢
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Lost
Under$77 @ 40.8¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: 1H MoneylineLost
Buccaneers$155 @ 26.0¢
Will Court McGee win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 37.0¢
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 10% or more?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.5¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen KhachanovLost
Karen Khachanov$47 @ 6.0¢
Spread: Bills (-21.5)Lost
Bills$440 @ 44.0¢
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$15 @ 41.0¢
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-10?Lost
Yes$400 @ 20.0¢
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
Will the fight be won by submission?Lost
Yes$48 @ 6.0¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?Lost
No$430 @ 43.0¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsLost
Under$7 @ 37.0¢
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-05?Lost
Yes$250 @ 5.0¢
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Lost
Over$5 @ 40.0¢
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InLost
Team Envy$574 @ 29.0¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Lost
Team Falcons$3.6k @ 64.6¢
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Lost
Under$222 @ 38.0¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsLost
Over$86 @ 58.0¢
Will Vitality Make the Grand Finals at BLAST Open Porto 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 32.0¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerLost
GamerLegion$2.4k @ 39.3¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLost
GamerLegion$831 @ 43.8¢
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaLost
Elena Rybakina$184 @ 7.3¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLost
Natus Vincere$236 @ 66.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerLost
Natus Vincere$37 @ 1.7¢
Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Lost
Over$12 @ 41.0¢
Will VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Lost
Yes$90 @ 3.0¢
Will AfD win less than 32% of all valid second votes?Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.5¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerLost
paiN$18 @ 8.0¢
Set 2 Winner: Frech vs RybakinaLost
Frech$5 @ 16.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLost
Vitality$5.0k @ 37.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLost
G2$5.3k @ 40.5¢
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Lost
No$134 @ 80.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLost
FURIA$3.7k @ 41.8¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerLost
paiN$11 @ 17.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?Lost
No$101 @ 4.0¢
Will CDU win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Lost
No$7 @ 87.0¢
Will Kai or Speed die to a Wither?Lost
Yes$315 @ 63.0¢
Will Aurora Gaming Win the CS2 EWC 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.4¢
Will Kai or Speed die to a zombie?Lost
Yes$67 @ 82.0¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerLost
M80$1.7k @ 34.0¢
Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?Lost
Yes$170 @ 88.5¢
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$74 @ 19.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?Lost
No$3.2k @ 66.3¢
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 187.5Lost
Over$1 @ 16.0¢
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)Lost
Lynn Vision$2.6k @ 47.3¢
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Lost
Over$2 @ 42.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	—	Vitality	$6.0k	73.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	No	$5.5k	24.1¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	—	G2	$5.3k	40.5¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?	—	No	$5.1k	51.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	—	Vitality	$5.0k	37.9¢
Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Sports	No	$5.0k	85.6¢
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals	—	No	$4.0k	46.9¢
Rams vs. Broncos	Sports	Rams	$3.8k	79.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	—	FURIA	$3.7k	41.8¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)	—	Team Falcons	$3.6k	64.6¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	—	No	$3.2k	66.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$2.9k	31.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles	—	Baltimore Orioles	$2.7k	56.0¢
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals	—	No	$2.6k	70.3¢
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	Sports	No	$2.6k	52.1¢
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)	—	Lynn Vision	$2.6k	47.3¢
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score	—	No	$2.5k	49.6¢
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	—	HOTU	$2.5k	44.1¢
Will Estéban Lepaul (Rennes) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Sports	No	$2.4k	83.0¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	—	GamerLegion	$2.4k	39.3¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	—	No	$2.4k	47.1¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	—	3DMAX	$2.4k	68.0¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)	—	Team Falcons	$2.4k	59.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	—	Under	$2.3k	69.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$2.3k	23.0¢
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	—	FOKUS	$2.2k	40.2¢
Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Sports	Yes	$2.1k	65.3¢
Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Sports	Yes	$2.0k	78.1¢
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	Sports	No	$2.0k	74.6¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	—	Team Falcons	$1.9k	75.0¢

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier—
Vitality$6.0k @ 73.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
No$5.5k @ 24.1¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs—
G2$5.3k @ 40.5¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?—
No$5.1k @ 51.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs—
Vitality$5.0k @ 37.9¢
Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Sports
No$5.0k @ 85.6¢
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals—
No$4.0k @ 46.9¢
Rams vs. BroncosSports
Rams$3.8k @ 79.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs—
FURIA$3.7k @ 41.8¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)—
Team Falcons$3.6k @ 64.6¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?—
No$3.2k @ 66.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$2.9k @ 31.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles—
Baltimore Orioles$2.7k @ 56.0¢
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals—
No$2.6k @ 70.3¢
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?Sports
No$2.6k @ 52.1¢
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)—
Lynn Vision$2.6k @ 47.3¢
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score—
No$2.5k @ 49.6¢
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier—
HOTU$2.5k @ 44.1¢
Will Estéban Lepaul (Rennes) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Sports
No$2.4k @ 83.0¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner—
GamerLegion$2.4k @ 39.3¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score—
No$2.4k @ 47.1¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner—
3DMAX$2.4k @ 68.0¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)—
Team Falcons$2.4k @ 59.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners—
Under$2.3k @ 69.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$2.3k @ 23.0¢
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner—
FOKUS$2.2k @ 40.2¢
Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Sports
Yes$2.1k @ 65.3¢
Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Sports
Yes$2.0k @ 78.1¢
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?Sports
No$2.0k @ 74.6¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier—
Team Falcons$1.9k @ 75.0¢