← Smart money
0x6c29…d5b1
ProfitableEdge
+67.4pp
ROI
+418%
Win rate
89% @ 21.5¢
Brier
0.566
Resolved
45
Avg size
$140
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 40% (2/5) | +484% | 5 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +291% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +484%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +291%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
38% hit · 3/8| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Yes | $4.9k | 16.7¢ | Won |
| Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | $23 | 0.4¢ | Lost |
| Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | $53 | 0.6¢ | Lost |
| Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | Yes | $852 | 25.6¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | $378 | 74.9¢ | Lost |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $6 | 11.4¢ | Lost |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $38 | 0.5¢ | Lost |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $49 | 87.9¢ | Won |
- Yes$4.9k @ 16.7¢
- Yes$23 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$53 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$852 @ 25.6¢
- No$378 @ 74.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 11.4¢
- Yes$38 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$49 @ 87.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$500 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$488 @ 91.3¢
- Yes$428 @ 35.7¢
- Yes$372 @ 31.0¢
- No$188 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$144 @ 12.0¢
- No$120 @ 92.0¢
- No$55 @ 96.1¢
- No$50 @ 97.1¢
- Yes$47 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$28 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.0¢