0x6bf6…2529

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6bf633e483ed85b5a73c5a387bdffdd100772529
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.2pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

27% @ 25.4¢

Brier

0.096

Resolved

4149

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (649/1392)	+12%	1392
Science	44% (58/132)	+4%	132
Politics	79% (11/14)	-3%	14
Sports	33% (2/6)	-55%	6
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other1392 bets
Hit rate
47% (649/1392)
ROI
+12%
Science132 bets
Hit rate
44% (58/132)
ROI
+4%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
79% (11/14)
ROI
-3%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
-55%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 720/1547

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 3?	No	$13	36.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?	No	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?	No	$2	71.0¢	Lost
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5	Under	$2	81.0¢	Won
Will US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?	No	$2	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	$5	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 1?	Yes	$7	10.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 12?	Yes	$2	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 11?	Yes	$5	26.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 8?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	$2	55.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?	Yes	$4	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 29?	No	$6	63.2¢	Won
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	$2	56.0¢	Lost
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5	Under	$2	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	$11	34.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?	Yes	$10	46.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?	No	$2	67.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$2	57.0¢	Lost
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Lakers	$2	47.0¢	Won
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$2	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	$2	79.0¢	Won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5	Under	$2	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?	Yes	$1	74.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?	Yes	$28	25.6¢	Lost
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$2	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	No	$6	43.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 12?	Yes	$7	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 24?	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	$2	62.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 22?	Yes	$6	7.0¢	Lost
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	$2	56.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?	No	$2	75.0¢	Won
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	$2	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	Yes	$5	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14?	No	$10	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 27?	Yes	$2	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 7?	Yes	$6	7.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?	No	$2	74.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Hamburger SV vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	Under	$2	65.0¢	Lost
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5	Under	$2	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 25?	Yes	$2	19.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 3?	Yes	$2	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	$4	1.3¢	Lost
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Crystal Palace FC	$2	62.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 3?Won
No$13 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?Lost
No$1 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?Lost
No$2 @ 71.0¢
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Won
Under$2 @ 81.0¢
Will US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?Won
No$2 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 1?Lost
Yes$7 @ 10.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 12?Lost
Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 11?Won
Yes$5 @ 26.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?Lost
Yes$2 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 29?Won
No$6 @ 63.2¢
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?Lost
Yes$2 @ 56.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Won
Under$2 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 30?Lost
Yes$11 @ 34.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?Won
Yes$10 @ 46.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?Won
No$2 @ 67.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Lost
Yes$2 @ 57.0¢
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Won
Lakers$2 @ 47.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$2 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?Won
No$2 @ 79.0¢
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$2 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?Won
Yes$1 @ 74.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?Lost
Yes$28 @ 25.6¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$2 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 9?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?Lost
No$6 @ 43.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 12?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Won
Yes$2 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 22?Lost
Yes$6 @ 7.0¢
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 6?Lost
Yes$2 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?Won
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?Won
Yes$2 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?Won
Yes$5 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14?Won
No$10 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on May 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 27?Won
Yes$2 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 7?Lost
Yes$6 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?Lost
No$2 @ 74.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Hamburger SV vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$2 @ 65.0¢
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5Won
Under$2 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 19.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 3?Won
Yes$2 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.3¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Lost
Crystal Palace FC$2 @ 62.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$193	96.4¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$170	92.7¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$117	93.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	Science	Yes	$100	74.2¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Politics	Yes	$76	68.7¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$72	72.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$64	93.0¢
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$56	59.0¢
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	Politics	No	$55	85.7¢
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Politics	Yes	$52	96.3¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$50	84.0¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$48	80.0¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$45	90.0¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	No	$44	80.4¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$38	76.0¢
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Politics	No	$34	86.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Other	No	$33	88.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$33	83.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Politics	No	$33	82.0¢
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$32	1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	Science	No	$28	86.0¢
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$26	87.0¢
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	Politics	No	$19	95.7¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Tech	No	$18	89.3¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$17	36.9¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Politics	No	$16	82.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14	76.5¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$12	18.9¢
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$10	89.0¢
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$10	92.0¢

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
No$193 @ 96.4¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$170 @ 92.7¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$117 @ 93.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?Science
Yes$100 @ 74.2¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
Yes$76 @ 68.7¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Politics
Yes$72 @ 72.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$64 @ 93.0¢
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$56 @ 59.0¢
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Politics
No$55 @ 85.7¢
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics
Yes$52 @ 96.3¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
Yes$50 @ 84.0¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
Yes$48 @ 80.0¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
Yes$45 @ 90.0¢
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
No$44 @ 80.4¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics
Yes$38 @ 76.0¢
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Politics
No$34 @ 86.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Other
No$33 @ 88.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$33 @ 83.5¢
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Politics
No$33 @ 82.0¢
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$32 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?Science
No$28 @ 86.0¢
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Politics
Yes$26 @ 87.0¢
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?Politics
No$19 @ 95.7¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech
No$18 @ 89.3¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$17 @ 36.9¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics
No$16 @ 82.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$14 @ 76.5¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Tech
Yes$12 @ 18.9¢
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 89.0¢
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 92.0¢