0x6bed…b1fe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6bedb65d4bec63a0fef84cd0f19a54f64029b1fe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+44.3pp

ROI

+72%

Win rate

89% @ 44.7¢

Brier

0.330

Resolved

554

Avg size

$58

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	71% (37/52)	+76%	52
Sports	85% (11/13)	+61%	13
Geopolitics	100% (3/3)	+18%	3
Crypto	100% (2/2)	+15%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+22%	1

Other52 bets
Hit rate
71% (37/52)
ROI
+76%
Sports13 bets
Hit rate
85% (11/13)
ROI
+61%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+18%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+15%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%

Track record

76% hit · 54/71

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$478	87.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 12?	No	$130	86.3¢	Won
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$567	81.0¢	Won
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	$24	81.2¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$24	73.8¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$15	61.0¢	Won
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	No	$3.4k	86.9¢	Won
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	$27	89.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$50	15.0¢	Lost
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	$8	89.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?	130k	$99	44.2¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$151	48.0¢	Won
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$68	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?	Yes	$11	25.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$200	87.7¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$820	82.0¢	Won
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$186	76.9¢	Won
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	Benoît Saint Denis	$41	56.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$67	83.0¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$1.0k	21.9¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship?	Yes	$52	64.8¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?	Yes	$30	57.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 6?	No	$6	83.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?	Yes	$51	30.0¢	Lost
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?	Yes	$11	2.8¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$1.2k	18.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$169	18.4¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$26	84.7¢	Won
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	$439	84.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Spain	$30	73.8¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$3.1k	45.2¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	$63	54.0¢	Won
Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	$4	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?	No	$100	75.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$4.4k	87.4¢	Won
Will the US strike 4 countries in February 2026?	No	$135	85.6¢	Won
Nothing Ever Happens: December	Yes	$3.0k	85.8¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$245	12.3¢	Lost
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?	Yes	$69	54.0¢	Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition	No	$20	39.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	$114	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?	No	$6	86.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$77	83.8¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$7.6k	38.2¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$6	86.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$38	86.5¢	Lost
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	No	$770	69.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 12?	No	$86	86.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance	Spain	$29	87.3¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	$12	62.0¢	Won

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Won
No$478 @ 87.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 12?Won
No$130 @ 86.3¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
No$567 @ 81.0¢
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Won
No$24 @ 81.2¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$24 @ 73.8¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$15 @ 61.0¢
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Won
No$3.4k @ 86.9¢
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
No$27 @ 89.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$50 @ 15.0¢
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?Lost
130k$99 @ 44.2¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
Yes$151 @ 48.0¢
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$68 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?Lost
Yes$11 @ 25.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$200 @ 87.7¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$820 @ 82.0¢
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$186 @ 76.9¢
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Benoît Saint Denis$41 @ 56.0¢
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$67 @ 83.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 21.9¢
Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship?Won
Yes$52 @ 64.8¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Won
Yes$30 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 6?Won
No$6 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?Lost
Yes$51 @ 30.0¢
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 18.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$169 @ 18.4¢
Will England win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$26 @ 84.7¢
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Won
No$439 @ 84.0¢
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$30 @ 73.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Won
Yes$3.1k @ 45.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Won
Yes$63 @ 54.0¢
Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?Won
No$100 @ 75.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$4.4k @ 87.4¢
Will the US strike 4 countries in February 2026?Won
No$135 @ 85.6¢
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberWon
Yes$3.0k @ 85.8¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$245 @ 12.3¢
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Lost
Yes$69 @ 54.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto EditionWon
No$20 @ 39.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Lost
Yes$114 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?Won
No$6 @ 86.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Won
Yes$77 @ 83.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$7.6k @ 38.2¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$6 @ 86.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$38 @ 86.5¢
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?Lost
No$770 @ 69.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 12?Won
No$86 @ 86.0¢
Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$29 @ 87.3¢
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Won
Yes$12 @ 62.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$7.2k	86.3¢
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Politics	No	$2.4k	98.3¢
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Politics	No	$408	96.3¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$30	5.4¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$7.2k @ 86.3¢
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Politics
No$2.4k @ 98.3¢
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Politics
No$408 @ 96.3¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$30 @ 5.4¢