0x6b48…9c41

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6b48a8253f97a61d74751c6068ac1f079ca79c41
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.1pp

ROI

+32%

Win rate

81% @ 61.7¢

Brier

0.169

Resolved

Avg size

$43

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	74% (23/31)	+35%	31
Politics	90% (9/10)	-1%	10
Sports	50% (1/2)	-32%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+4%	1

Other31 bets
Hit rate
74% (23/31)
ROI
+35%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
90% (9/10)
ROI
-1%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-32%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+4%

Track record

77% hit · 34/44

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$6	20.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?	Yes	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$13	54.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$86	21.5¢	Won
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$20	68.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$204	87.0¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	No	$41	69.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 10?	Yes	$7	22.0¢	Lost
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	$32	86.1¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$20	89.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$132	66.0¢	Won
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	Yes	$24	80.0¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$198	79.0¢	Won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?	Yes	$40	79.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$10	21.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$12	29.5¢	Won
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	Yes	$42	83.0¢	Won
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	No	$80	62.2¢	Won
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Lost
Bucks vs. Thunder	Thunder	$25	82.0¢	Lost
Will Meta (META) close above $670 on January 27?	Yes	$217	87.6¢	Won
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 3?	No	$26	88.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$140	70.0¢	Won
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	Yes	$41	69.0¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$163	86.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	Yes	$20	63.5¢	Won
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	No	$30	59.0¢	Won
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$172	86.0¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	Yes	$80	80.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?	No	$48	55.2¢	Won
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$170	68.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$13	76.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$32	32.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?	Yes	$32	82.0¢	Won
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	$108	98.0¢	Won
Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	No	$48	98.6¢	Lost
Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	$39	98.6¢	Won
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	$8	97.7¢	Won
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	$38	96.0¢	Won
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	$43	98.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	No	$60	97.3¢	Won
Will ZZS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	$89	98.6¢	Won
Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	$59	99.4¢	Won

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?Won
Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$13 @ 54.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$86 @ 21.5¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
Seahawks$20 @ 68.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$204 @ 87.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
No$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Lost
No$41 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 10?Lost
Yes$7 @ 22.0¢
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Won
Yes$32 @ 86.1¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$20 @ 89.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$132 @ 66.0¢
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Won
Yes$24 @ 80.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$198 @ 79.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?Won
Yes$40 @ 79.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$10 @ 21.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$12 @ 29.5¢
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Won
Yes$42 @ 83.0¢
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Won
No$80 @ 62.2¢
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Bucks vs. ThunderLost
Thunder$25 @ 82.0¢
Will Meta (META) close above $670 on January 27?Won
Yes$217 @ 87.6¢
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 3?Won
No$26 @ 88.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Won
Yes$41 @ 69.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$163 @ 86.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 63.5¢
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$30 @ 59.0¢
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$172 @ 86.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?Won
No$48 @ 55.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
Yes$170 @ 68.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$13 @ 76.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Won
Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Won
Yes$32 @ 82.0¢
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Won
Yes$108 @ 98.0¢
Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Lost
No$48 @ 98.6¢
Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Won
No$39 @ 98.6¢
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
No$8 @ 97.7¢
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?Won
No$38 @ 96.0¢
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Won
No$43 @ 98.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Won
No$60 @ 97.3¢
Will ZZS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Won
No$89 @ 98.6¢
Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Won
No$59 @ 99.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Politics	No	$110	98.2¢
Will Karin Podivinská be the next Mayor of Brno?	Politics	No	$30	98.9¢

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics
No$110 @ 98.2¢
Will Karin Podivinská be the next Mayor of Brno?Politics
No$30 @ 98.9¢