0x6b47…30ab

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6b47dfaee251f881846cac9200f8d1b4f08330ab
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+27.1pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

71% @ 43.9¢

Brier

0.319

Resolved

138

Avg size

$31

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (4/8)	-47%	8
Politics	43% (3/7)	+101%	7
Culture	100% (2/2)	+28%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+102%	1

Other8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
-47%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+101%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+28%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+102%

Track record

56% hit · 10/18

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$37	72.0¢	Won
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?	Yes	$42	16.8¢	Lost
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	$165	79.7¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?	No	$1.2k	47.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?	Yes	$10	49.9¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	No	$131	8.7¢	Lost
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	$239	49.4¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	No	$216	46.9¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	Yes	$15	30.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?	No	$289	85.0¢	Won
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	$108	52.9¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	$265	70.1¢	Won
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	$223	48.5¢	Lost
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	$82	54.4¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?	No	$271	72.3¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$552	20.2¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	$357	39.6¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$104	73.8¢	Lost

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Won
No$37 @ 72.0¢
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?Lost
Yes$42 @ 16.8¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Won
No$165 @ 79.7¢
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Lost
No$1.2k @ 47.0¢
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 49.9¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$131 @ 8.7¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Won
Yes$239 @ 49.4¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Won
No$216 @ 46.9¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Lost
Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?Won
No$289 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Lost
No$108 @ 52.9¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Won
No$265 @ 70.1¢
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?Lost
No$223 @ 48.5¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Won
No$82 @ 54.4¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Won
No$271 @ 72.3¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Won
No$552 @ 20.2¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Lost
Yes$357 @ 39.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$104 @ 73.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
GTA VI released by November 30?	Culture	Yes	$461	92.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$170	56.6¢

GTA VI released by November 30?Culture
Yes$461 @ 92.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$170 @ 56.6¢