0x6b02…e5fc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6b025355d035a679205ae23de33c7e9abe71e5fc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.1pp

ROI

+70%

Win rate

24% @ 20.0¢

Brier

0.159

Resolved

1825

Avg size

$28

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	32% (70/218)	-19%	218
Politics	25% (15/61)	+134%	61
Other	18% (8/44)	-7%	44
Geopolitics	9% (2/22)	-90%	22
Sports	20% (3/15)	-79%	15
Culture	67% (2/3)	+10%	3
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Science218 bets
Hit rate
32% (70/218)
ROI
-19%
Politics61 bets
Hit rate
25% (15/61)
ROI
+134%
Other44 bets
Hit rate
18% (8/44)
ROI
-7%
Geopolitics22 bets
Hit rate
9% (2/22)
ROI
-90%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
20% (3/15)
ROI
-79%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+10%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

27% hit · 100/364

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 15°C on September 26?	Yes	$2	38.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 31?	Yes	$11	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 31?	No	$14	45.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	$4	21.0¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$15	16.0¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Lost
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	No	$10	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 30?	No	$6	40.0¢	Won
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$20	25.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 10?	No	$7	51.6¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$106	0.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$16	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	$4	51.0¢	Won
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	$2	51.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	$48	8.4¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$551	1.2¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 23?	No	$4	61.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$91	4.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$18	41.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$479	23.7¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$54	52.8¢	Lost
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$574	26.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 27?	No	$0	37.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$667	6.2¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$766	0.3¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$145	18.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	45.1¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$17	39.5¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$76	61.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 28?	Yes	$0	37.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	$70	14.6¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$20	8.6¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$27	3.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 6?	No	$2	44.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 8?	Yes	$2	36.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 29?	Yes	$8	47.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$21	43.2¢	Won
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$3.0k	2.0¢	Lost
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$800	85.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 1?	Yes	$0	35.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$173	3.7¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$10	25.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 29?	No	$0	33.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	$36	5.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$7	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 27?	Yes	$0	22.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?	Yes	$12	39.0¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$32	41.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$183	11.0¢	Lost

Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 15°C on September 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 31?Lost
Yes$11 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 31?Lost
No$14 @ 45.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Lost
No$4 @ 21.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 16.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Won
No$10 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 30?Won
No$6 @ 40.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 25.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 10?Lost
No$7 @ 51.6¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$106 @ 0.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 21?Won
Yes$4 @ 51.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Lost
No$2 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Lost
No$48 @ 8.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$551 @ 1.2¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 23?Won
No$4 @ 61.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Lost
Yes$91 @ 4.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$18 @ 41.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$479 @ 23.7¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$54 @ 52.8¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Won
Yes$574 @ 26.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 27?Lost
No$0 @ 37.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$667 @ 6.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$766 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$145 @ 18.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 45.1¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$17 @ 39.5¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$76 @ 61.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 28?Won
Yes$0 @ 37.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$70 @ 14.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$20 @ 8.6¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Lost
Yes$27 @ 3.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 6?Lost
No$2 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 8?Lost
Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 29?Won
Yes$8 @ 47.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$21 @ 43.2¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$3.0k @ 2.0¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$800 @ 85.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 1?Won
Yes$0 @ 35.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$173 @ 3.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 25.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 29?Lost
No$0 @ 33.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Lost
No$36 @ 5.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$7 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?Won
Yes$12 @ 39.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Lost
Yes$32 @ 41.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$183 @ 11.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$156	9.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 31?	Science	No	$14	45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 31?	Science	Yes	$11	37.0¢
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	Culture	No	$10	39.0¢

Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$156 @ 9.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 31?Science
No$14 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 31?Science
Yes$11 @ 37.0¢
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?Culture
No$10 @ 39.0¢