0x6ae0…7483

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6ae0a24ae0797e62332852a52ae321e330177483
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.4pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

37% @ 34.2¢

Brier

0.070

Resolved

1405

Avg size

$111

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	14% (46/339)	+24%	339
Sports	4% (3/67)	-99%	67
Politics	33% (6/18)	-7%	18
Tech	60% (6/10)	+37%	10
Geopolitics	20% (1/5)	-74%	5
Crypto	50% (2/4)	-18%	4
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other339 bets
Hit rate
14% (46/339)
ROI
+24%
Sports67 bets
Hit rate
4% (3/67)
ROI
-99%
Politics18 bets
Hit rate
33% (6/18)
ROI
-7%
Tech10 bets
Hit rate
60% (6/10)
ROI
+37%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-74%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-18%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

14% hit · 64/444

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Austria?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.1k	2.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	Yes	$2	7.0¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 3 Czechia?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?	Yes	$11	2.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Canada?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$1	2.4¢	Lost
Will FTI Consulting (FCN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$179	57.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	$2	4.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?	Yes	$3	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	$595	35.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	Yes	$220	33.9¢	Won
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 Mexico?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	$489	38.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	$4	1.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands?	Yes	$2	17.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 United States?	Yes	$0	3.1¢	Lost
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?	Yes	$258	19.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	$2	4.2¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$65	64.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	$51	1.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$566	5.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Austria?	Yes	$1	3.7¢	Lost
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?	Yes	$400	25.3¢	Lost
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?	Yes	$33	83.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$5	5.3¢	Won
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?	Yes	$3	0.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	$15	3.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	$785	48.9¢	Won
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	$2.6k	85.5¢	Won
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Austria?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$147	33.2¢	Lost
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?	No	$19	33.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 France?	Yes	$3	2.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 2 Canada?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$2	7.3¢	Lost

Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Austria?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 2.1¢
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 3 Czechia?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.2¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Canada?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
Will FTI Consulting (FCN) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$179 @ 57.6¢
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.7¢
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$595 @ 35.5¢
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Won
Yes$220 @ 33.9¢
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?Won
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 Mexico?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$489 @ 38.2¢
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands?Lost
Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 0 United States?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.1¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?Lost
Yes$258 @ 19.4¢
Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.2¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?Lost
Yes$65 @ 64.9¢
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?Lost
Yes$51 @ 1.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$566 @ 5.5¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Austria?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.7¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$400 @ 25.3¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Won
Yes$33 @ 83.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?Won
Yes$5 @ 5.3¢
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.0¢
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Morocco?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?Won
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?Won
Yes$785 @ 48.9¢
Will Putin visit China by May 31?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 85.5¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Austria?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$147 @ 33.2¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?Lost
No$19 @ 33.0¢
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 France?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 2 Canada?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.3¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	No	$557	82.4¢
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	No	$482	75.2¢

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto
No$557 @ 82.4¢
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto
No$482 @ 75.2¢