0x6a67…df6f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6a678ca367432d28cb6aa55bb6bc57d8f53bdf6f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.0pp

ROI

+37%

Win rate

23% @ 19.9¢

Brier

0.108

Resolved

1658

Avg size

$118

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	21% (11/52)	+24%	52
Other	53% (16/30)	+29%	30
Politics	33% (7/21)	+72%	21
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-68%	3
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+34%	3
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Sports52 bets
Hit rate
21% (11/52)
ROI
+24%
Other30 bets
Hit rate
53% (16/30)
ROI
+29%
Politics21 bets
Hit rate
33% (7/21)
ROI
+72%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-68%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+34%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

33% hit · 37/111

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	$1.1k	69.7¢	Won
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.5k	69.3¢	Lost
Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	$280	28.0¢	Won
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	$1.1k	6.4¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$34.8k	72.5¢	Won
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$4.8k	86.8¢	Won
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	Yes	$26	13.0¢	Lost
Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?	Yes	$51	33.7¢	Lost
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$285	77.1¢	Won
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$3.6k	45.1¢	Won
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$510	33.7¢	Lost
Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	No	$700	70.0¢	Won
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$6	6.4¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	$11	88.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	No	$28	27.5¢	Lost
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$398	16.7¢	Lost
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise	Olise	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$500	47.6¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-09-25?	No	$260	26.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$126	60.8¢	Won
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$497	88.9¢	Won
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	$1.2k	29.6¢	Lost
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	$171	85.5¢	Won
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.3k	2.0¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.6k	61.0¢	Won
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$30	3.0¢	Lost
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$25	5.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.2k	2.6¢	Lost
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$444	88.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$35.0k	1.4¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$640	64.0¢	Won
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	$9.3k	24.2¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	$270	27.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	$444	40.2¢	Lost
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$48	0.6¢	Lost
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$4	86.0¢	Won
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$2.1k	73.5¢	Won
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$485	46.7¢	Lost
Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?	No	$64	64.0¢	Lost
Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	$413	88.9¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$4.3k	82.6¢	Won
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?	Yes	$44	24.0¢	Lost
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$295	59.0¢	Won
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$3.9k	52.6¢	Won
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$11	0.6¢	Lost
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	0.4¢	Lost
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$45	8.0¢	Lost
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$12	55.9¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	$90	89.0¢	Won
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	0.2¢	Lost

Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 69.7¢
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$1.5k @ 69.3¢
Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$280 @ 28.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 6.4¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$34.8k @ 72.5¢
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$4.8k @ 86.8¢
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$51 @ 33.7¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$285 @ 77.1¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$3.6k @ 45.1¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$510 @ 33.7¢
Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Won
No$700 @ 70.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.4¢
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?Won
Yes$11 @ 88.0¢
Will Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?Lost
No$28 @ 27.5¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
Yes$398 @ 16.7¢
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. OliseLost
Olise$10 @ 2.0¢
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$500 @ 47.6¢
Will France win on 2026-09-25?Lost
No$260 @ 26.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$126 @ 60.8¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
Yes$497 @ 88.9¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Lost
No$1.2k @ 29.6¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?Won
Yes$171 @ 85.5¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 2.0¢
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.6k @ 61.0¢
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$30 @ 3.0¢
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$25 @ 5.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 2.6¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
No$444 @ 88.0¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$35.0k @ 1.4¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$640 @ 64.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Won
Yes$9.3k @ 24.2¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?Lost
Yes$270 @ 27.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?Lost
Yes$444 @ 40.2¢
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$48 @ 0.6¢
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
No$2.1k @ 73.5¢
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$485 @ 46.7¢
Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?Lost
No$64 @ 64.0¢
Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?Won
Yes$413 @ 88.9¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 82.6¢
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?Lost
Yes$44 @ 24.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$295 @ 59.0¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
Yes$3.9k @ 52.6¢
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.6¢
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$15 @ 0.4¢
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$45 @ 8.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$12 @ 55.9¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?Won
Yes$90 @ 89.0¢
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Sports	Yes	$34.5k	71.5¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Sports	Yes	$12.2k	25.7¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$1.8k	55.3¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$1.2k	6.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$1.2k	12.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$920	92.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$764	69.5¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$683	32.0¢
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$664	96.3¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$618	70.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$467	77.8¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$398	68.0¢
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Sports	Yamal	$394	74.8¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$303	94.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$283	70.7¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$282	42.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$279	62.0¢
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$273	91.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$255	25.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Politics	No	$171	76.0¢
Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$170	96.0¢
Will Nuno Mendes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$152	89.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$147	94.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$137	91.0¢
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$128	64.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$122	97.0¢
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Sports	Messi	$113	54.0¢
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$107	67.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$105	95.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Politics	No	$97	52.0¢

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Sports
Yes$34.5k @ 71.5¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Sports
Yes$12.2k @ 25.7¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$1.8k @ 55.3¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$1.2k @ 6.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$1.2k @ 12.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$920 @ 92.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$764 @ 69.5¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$683 @ 32.0¢
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?Crypto
No$664 @ 96.3¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$618 @ 70.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$467 @ 77.8¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$398 @ 68.0¢
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Sports
Yamal$394 @ 74.8¢
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$303 @ 94.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$283 @ 70.7¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$282 @ 42.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$279 @ 62.0¢
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$273 @ 91.0¢
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$255 @ 25.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics
No$171 @ 76.0¢
Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$170 @ 96.0¢
Will Nuno Mendes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$152 @ 89.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$147 @ 94.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Politics
No$137 @ 91.0¢
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$128 @ 64.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$122 @ 97.0¢
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Sports
Messi$113 @ 54.0¢
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$107 @ 67.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$105 @ 95.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Politics
No$97 @ 52.0¢