0x6a51…006e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6a5121acdc5e4fc2980d177a0aa729315ce6006e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+40.6pp

ROI

+90%

Win rate

74% @ 33.6¢

Brier

0.410

Resolved

387

Avg size

$91

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (9/24)	+15%	24
Sports	21% (3/14)	-5%	14
Tech	70% (7/10)	+131%	10

Other24 bets
Hit rate
38% (9/24)
ROI
+15%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
21% (3/14)
ROI
-5%
Tech10 bets
Hit rate
70% (7/10)
ROI
+131%

Track record

40% hit · 19/48

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$123	14.4¢	Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$10	0.6¢	Lost
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026	No	$618	88.5¢	Won
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026	No	$1.5k	89.4¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$101	51.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$102	47.0¢	Won
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026	No	$607	65.6¢	Won
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$1.8k	47.8¢	Lost
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026	No	$2.7k	76.6¢	Won
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026	Yes	$500	59.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	$202	26.3¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	1.8¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31	11.2¢	Lost
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026	No	$2.1k	88.0¢	Won
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$1.2k	39.8¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$404	67.0¢	Won
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	$33	56.1¢	Lost
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$13.2k	29.2¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31	10.1¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$102	36.0¢	Lost
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026	No	$399	89.0¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$528	18.2¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$203	53.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	1.1¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	16.8¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$124	4.7¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$100	31.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	No	$100	84.9¢	Won
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	$1	31.0¢	Won
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	United States	$507	54.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$339	10.7¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Croatia	$3	40.2¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$104	16.7¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$506	33.7¢	Lost
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$10	0.5¢	Lost
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026	Yes	$3.6k	56.2¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	$100	48.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$304	52.0¢	Won
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026	No	$1.0k	66.4¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$5	0.2¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$2	16.7¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$102	38.0¢	Lost
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	1.8¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$204	39.0¢	Lost
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026	No	$1.3k	86.5¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	$221	39.0¢	Lost

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$123 @ 14.4¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.6¢
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026Won
No$618 @ 88.5¢
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026Won
No$1.5k @ 89.4¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceLost
Netherlands$101 @ 51.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$102 @ 47.0¢
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026Won
No$607 @ 65.6¢
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 47.8¢
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Won
No$2.7k @ 76.6¢
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Lost
Yes$500 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?Lost
Yes$202 @ 26.3¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.8¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$31 @ 11.2¢
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Won
No$2.1k @ 88.0¢
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 39.8¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$404 @ 67.0¢
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
No$33 @ 56.1¢
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Won
Yes$13.2k @ 29.2¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$31 @ 10.1¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Lost
Yes$102 @ 36.0¢
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026Won
No$399 @ 89.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$528 @ 18.2¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$203 @ 53.0¢
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$103 @ 16.8¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$124 @ 4.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Won
Yes$100 @ 31.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Won
No$100 @ 84.9¢
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceLost
United States$507 @ 54.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$339 @ 10.7¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceLost
Croatia$3 @ 40.2¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$104 @ 16.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
No$506 @ 33.7¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026Won
Yes$3.6k @ 56.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 48.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$304 @ 52.0¢
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Won
No$1.0k @ 66.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.7¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$102 @ 38.0¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.8¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Lost
Yes$204 @ 39.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026Won
No$1.3k @ 86.5¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Lost
Yes$221 @ 39.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Tech	Yes	$7.9k	71.4¢
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Tech	No	$1.3k	86.5¢
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Tech	No	$369	73.6¢

Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026Tech
Yes$7.9k @ 71.4¢
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026Tech
No$1.3k @ 86.5¢
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026Tech
No$369 @ 73.6¢