← Smart money
0x69ac…7b99
SharpEdge
+18.7pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
81% @ 62.6¢
Brier
0.149
Resolved
48
Avg size
$251
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 80% (8/10) | +21% | 10 |
| Politics | 67% (4/6) | +50% | 6 |
| Tech | 80% (4/5) | +5% | 5 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other10 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (8/10)
- ROI
- +21%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +50%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +5%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
70% hit · 16/23- Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 85.9¢
- No$20 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$11.1k @ 81.0¢
- No$10 @ 74.0¢
- Finland$2 @ 42.0¢
- Switzerland$3 @ 49.7¢
- Yes$261 @ 87.0¢
- No$340 @ 65.9¢
- Yes$21 @ 25.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 27.0¢
- No$10 @ 88.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
- No$179 @ 56.1¢
- Yes$43 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 86.5¢
- No$15 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 87.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Tech | No | $20 | 59.0¢ |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Politics | No | $18 | 80.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $18 | 67.0¢ |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | Tech | No | $10 | 85.0¢ |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $10 | 39.5¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Politics | No | $10 | 78.0¢ |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? | Tech | No | $10 | 74.5¢ |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Business | No | $10 | 71.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $5 | 36.0¢ |
- No$20 @ 59.0¢
- No$18 @ 80.0¢
- No$18 @ 67.0¢
- No$10 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 39.5¢
- No$10 @ 78.0¢
- No$10 @ 74.5¢
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$10 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 36.0¢