0x6998…9ff2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6998b23b79d966f6b26feb22c619a21508e39ff2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.2pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

38% @ 31.6¢

Brier

0.156

Resolved

785

Avg size

$93

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	22% (31/143)	+29%	143
Sports	33% (13/40)	-1%	40
Politics	75% (3/4)	+34%	4

Other143 bets
Hit rate
22% (31/143)
ROI
+29%
Sports40 bets
Hit rate
33% (13/40)
ROI
-1%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+34%

Track record

25% hit · 47/187

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	Yes	$44	21.1¢	Won
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?	Yes	$3	3.2¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	1.8¢	Lost
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$176	10.8¢	Lost
Will HRPP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$15	1.4¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$5	4.1¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$71	66.0¢	Won
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$7	17.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	$67	51.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	Yes	$22	35.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	No	$80	31.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$35	1.4¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$36	44.7¢	Lost
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 90m and 100m views in first 24 hours?	Yes	$120	4.5¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$750	73.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$170	74.3¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?	Yes	$1.2k	68.7¢	Lost
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?	Yes	$21	14.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	11.0¢	Lost
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?	Yes	$73	24.6¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	$15	1.7¢	Lost
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$116	1.1¢	Lost
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?	Yes	$66	45.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	$8	3.9¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$979	66.6¢	Won
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214	Yes	$9	2.7¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$41	5.7¢	Lost
Will Kamala say "medical record" during Fox News interview?	Yes	$10	1.3¢	Lost
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$10	3.0¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	No	$25	2.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	No	$31	38.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$76	57.0¢	Won
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5	Under	$67	46.9¢	Won
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154	Yes	$9	2.6¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$152	47.0¢	Won
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	No	$2.2k	21.1¢	Won
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14	Yes	$14	6.0¢	Lost
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	$3.6k	70.4¢	Won
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	$224	28.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala say "Border" 5 or more times during Fox News interview?	No	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will Kamala say "abortion" during Fox News interview?	Yes	$5	0.7¢	Lost
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia	Czechia	$45	6.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	8.4¢	Lost
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?	Yes	$17	17.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$28	29.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$65	9.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$330	27.0¢	Won
Will there be another debate?	Yes	$10	6.7¢	Lost
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel	Schimel	$33	15.0¢	Lost
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	$70	0.7¢	Lost

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Won
Yes$44 @ 21.1¢
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$15 @ 1.8¢
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$176 @ 10.8¢
Will HRPP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$15 @ 1.4¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.1¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$71 @ 66.0¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$7 @ 17.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Won
Yes$67 @ 51.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Lost
Yes$22 @ 35.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$80 @ 31.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$35 @ 1.4¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$36 @ 44.7¢
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 90m and 100m views in first 24 hours?Lost
Yes$120 @ 4.5¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
Yes$750 @ 73.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$170 @ 74.3¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 68.7¢
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Won
Yes$21 @ 14.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 11.0¢
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?Won
Yes$73 @ 24.6¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$15 @ 1.7¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$116 @ 1.1¢
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$66 @ 45.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$979 @ 66.6¢
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.7¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$41 @ 5.7¢
Will Kamala say "medical record" during Fox News interview? Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.3¢
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Lost
No$25 @ 2.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Lost
No$31 @ 38.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$76 @ 57.0¢
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Won
Under$67 @ 46.9¢
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.6¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$152 @ 47.0¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
No$2.2k @ 21.1¢
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Lost
Yes$14 @ 6.0¢
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Won
Yes$3.6k @ 70.4¢
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Lost
Yes$224 @ 28.0¢
Will Kamala say "Border" 5 or more times during Fox News interview? Lost
No$2 @ 0.3¢
Will Kamala say "abortion" during Fox News interview? Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. CzechiaLost
Czechia$45 @ 6.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 8.4¢
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?Lost
Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$28 @ 29.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$65 @ 9.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$330 @ 27.0¢
Will there be another debate?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.7¢
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel Lost
Schimel$33 @ 15.0¢
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$70 @ 0.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4.0k	66.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.9k	47.7¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$157	9.4¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	17.8¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2	12.1¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1	14.6¢

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$4.0k @ 66.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.9k @ 47.7¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$157 @ 9.4¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 17.8¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2 @ 12.1¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1 @ 14.6¢