← Smart money
0x696a…e23a
ProfitableEdge
+4.4pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
55% @ 50.7¢
Brier
0.182
Resolved
2375
Avg size
$178
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 51% (331/649) | +4% | 649 |
| Politics | 50% (22/44) | +16% | 44 |
| Sports | 53% (9/17) | -41% | 17 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (1/4) | -6% | 4 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other649 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (331/649)
- ROI
- +4%
- Politics44 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (22/44)
- ROI
- +16%
- Sports17 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (9/17)
- ROI
- -41%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -6%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
51% hit · 363/715- O/U 2.5 RoundsLostOver$1.2k @ 62.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 96.9¢
- No$1.8k @ 90.3¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 98.5¢
- Under$1.4k @ 45.0¢
- Saint Louis Billikens$2.2k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 3.0¢
- No$465 @ 85.0¢
- No$60 @ 43.0¢
- No$664 @ 67.0¢
- No$988 @ 62.1¢
- Yes$800 @ 80.0¢
- Under$63 @ 20.0¢
- No$40 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$45 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 80.0¢
- No$17 @ 87.0¢
- Troy Trojans$409 @ 78.0¢
- No$50 @ 33.5¢
- Islanders$1.1k @ 51.0¢
- Atlanta Braves$520 @ 51.0¢
- Kenta Miyoshi$726 @ 59.0¢
- No$702 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$155 @ 51.0¢
- No$60 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 40.0¢
- No$258 @ 43.0¢
- No$33 @ 70.0¢
- Arthur Rinderknech$390 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$480 @ 37.9¢
- Yes$445 @ 42.3¢
- Yes$199 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$98 @ 57.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$140 @ 11.7¢
- Over$237 @ 47.0¢
- Colorado Rockies$1.1k @ 58.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 31.5¢
- No$8 @ 87.9¢
- No$99 @ 39.9¢
- No$19 @ 71.7¢
- No$4 @ 69.0¢
- Over$243 @ 43.8¢
- Panathinaikos$1.0k @ 42.0¢
- Yes$775 @ 77.5¢
- Yes$89 @ 1.3¢
- No$761 @ 79.8¢
- Yes$244 @ 48.8¢
- No$1.0k @ 82.1¢
- Minnesota Twins$1.2k @ 55.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Sports | No | $668 | 94.7¢ |
| Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next? | Sports | No | $286 | 89.6¢ |
| Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next? | Sports | No | $231 | 85.4¢ |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | Politics | Yes | $230 | 41.7¢ |
| Will Myles Garrett finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks? | Sports | No | $169 | 93.9¢ |
| Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next? | Sports | No | $166 | 89.4¢ |
- Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?SportsNo$668 @ 94.7¢
- No$286 @ 89.6¢
- No$231 @ 85.4¢
- Yes$230 @ 41.7¢
- No$169 @ 93.9¢
- No$166 @ 89.4¢