0x6936…a45e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6936431c93a525f454d1bb914c107f926c86a45e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+43%

Win rate

44% @ 38.1¢

Brier

0.126

Resolved

342

Avg size

$13

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (75/162)	+52%	162
Culture	67% (10/15)	+19%	15
Tech	67% (2/3)	+67%	3
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Politics	100% (1/1)	+59%	1

Other162 bets
Hit rate
46% (75/162)
ROI
+52%
Culture15 bets
Hit rate
67% (10/15)
ROI
+19%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+67%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+59%

Track record

48% hit · 88/182

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?	Yes	$22	86.4¢	Won
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	$1	37.0¢	Won
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	Yes	$39	52.7¢	Lost
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$22	44.0¢	Won
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	No	$3	18.0¢	Lost
Will @drews888 win the Phoenix trading competition?	Yes	$18	43.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	$18	87.0¢	Won
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	No	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	Yes	$1	50.0¢	Won
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?	No	$9	60.3¢	Won
between 39 and 41 million views	No	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	No	$16	42.1¢	Won
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$3	60.0¢	Won
Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?	No	$1	82.0¢	Won
Will anyone say "Evil" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?	Yes	$31	66.4¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	Yes	$47	47.0¢	Won
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on June 9?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	No	$3	25.0¢	Lost
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?	No	$57	74.0¢	Won
Will anyone say "Ninja" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?	No	$6	85.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?	Yes	$7	6.5¢	Lost
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?	No	$16	76.0¢	Won
Will General Mills say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will anyone say "Bank" 5+ times during President Curtis E4 S1?	Yes	$5	20.9¢	Lost
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$111	53.6¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?	Yes	$6	25.0¢	Lost
Will anyone say "Device" during Rick and Morty E3 S9?	No	$16	81.0¢	Won
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?	Yes	$2	7.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?	Yes	$13	17.0¢	Won
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?	Yes	$3	51.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$14	69.0¢	Won
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?	Yes	$28	70.0¢	Won
Will "Deep Water" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$6	85.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?	Yes	$39	39.0¢	Won
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?	Yes	$0	61.0¢	Won
Will anyone say "Morty" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will anyone say "Morty" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9?	Yes	$82	20.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?	Yes	$39	49.0¢	Lost
43 million or more views	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest Billie Eilish during Juno?	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$4	21.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?	Yes	$14	17.4¢	Lost
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	Yes	$4	75.0¢	Won
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Lost

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?Won
Yes$22 @ 86.4¢
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?Won
Yes$1 @ 37.0¢
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Lost
Yes$39 @ 52.7¢
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$22 @ 44.0¢
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Lost
No$3 @ 18.0¢
Will @drews888 win the Phoenix trading competition?Won
Yes$18 @ 43.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will "Apex" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Won
Yes$18 @ 87.0¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?Lost
No$3 @ 29.0¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?Won
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?Won
No$9 @ 60.3¢
between 39 and 41 million viewsWon
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?Won
No$16 @ 42.1¢
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
No$3 @ 60.0¢
Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Won
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Will anyone say "Evil" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Won
Yes$31 @ 66.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?Won
Yes$47 @ 47.0¢
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on June 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?Lost
No$3 @ 25.0¢
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?Won
No$57 @ 74.0¢
Will anyone say "Ninja" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?Won
No$6 @ 85.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$7 @ 6.5¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?Won
No$16 @ 76.0¢
Will General Mills say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?Lost
No$1 @ 2.5¢
Will anyone say "Bank" 5+ times during President Curtis E4 S1?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.9¢
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Lost
No$111 @ 53.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?Lost
Yes$6 @ 25.0¢
Will anyone say "Device" during Rick and Morty E3 S9?Won
No$16 @ 81.0¢
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?Won
Yes$13 @ 17.0¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?Won
Yes$3 @ 51.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$14 @ 69.0¢
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?Won
Yes$28 @ 70.0¢
Will "Deep Water" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
No$6 @ 85.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?Won
Yes$39 @ 39.0¢
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?Won
Yes$0 @ 61.0¢
Will anyone say "Morty" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will anyone say "Morty" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9?Won
Yes$82 @ 20.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$39 @ 49.0¢
43 million or more viewsWon
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest Billie Eilish during Juno?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$14 @ 17.4¢
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?Won
Yes$4 @ 75.0¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	Culture	No	$994	99.4¢
Will Constellation Brands say "Margin" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$643	98.5¢
Will Constellation Brands say "Consumer" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$641	98.5¢
Will "Trump" be in the headlines this week?	Politics	Yes	$522	99.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Culture	Yes	$185	29.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Culture	Yes	$168	32.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Culture	Yes	$83	16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Culture	Yes	$83	16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Culture	Yes	$83	16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Culture	Yes	$83	16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Culture	Yes	$83	16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Culture	Yes	$83	16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Culture	Yes	$24	12.0¢
Will "Brazil" be in the headlines this week?	Politics	No	$3	51.0¢

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?Culture
No$994 @ 99.4¢
Will Constellation Brands say "Margin" during earnings call?Other
Yes$643 @ 98.5¢
Will Constellation Brands say "Consumer" during earnings call?Other
Yes$641 @ 98.5¢
Will "Trump" be in the headlines this week?Politics
Yes$522 @ 99.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Culture
Yes$185 @ 29.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture
Yes$168 @ 32.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Culture
Yes$83 @ 16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Culture
Yes$83 @ 16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Culture
Yes$83 @ 16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Culture
Yes$83 @ 16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Culture
Yes$83 @ 16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?Culture
Yes$83 @ 16.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Culture
Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
Will "Brazil" be in the headlines this week?Politics
No$3 @ 51.0¢