← Smart money
0x6928…d7af
ProfitableEdge
+9.1pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
43% @ 33.6¢
Brier
0.233
Resolved
157
Avg size
$12
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 38% (28/74) | +8% | 74 |
| Politics | 44% (8/18) | +66% | 18 |
| Sports | 38% (6/16) | -9% | 16 |
| Economy | 13% (1/8) | -26% | 8 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +54% | 2 |
- Other74 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (28/74)
- ROI
- +8%
- Politics18 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (8/18)
- ROI
- +66%
- Sports16 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (6/16)
- ROI
- -9%
- Economy8 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (1/8)
- ROI
- -26%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +54%
Track record
38% hit · 45/118- FlyQuest$10 @ 38.0¢
- HANJIN BRION$5 @ 16.0¢
- Yangon Galacticos$5 @ 34.0¢
- DN SOOPers$5 @ 23.0¢
- T1$11 @ 35.0¢
- BNK FEARX$5 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 43.0¢
- BNK FEARX$4 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 55.3¢
- Ninjas in Pyjamas$10 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 9.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 38.0¢
- BNK FEARX$5 @ 32.0¢
- Ninjas in Pyjamas$5 @ 33.0¢
- No$5 @ 71.0¢
- No$117 @ 64.9¢
- T1$5 @ 52.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 23.0¢
- Team WE$10 @ 32.0¢
- No$5 @ 7.2¢
- Team Yandex$10 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 4.2¢
- Top Esports$5 @ 34.0¢
- Dignitas$10 @ 43.0¢
- Dplus KIA$5 @ 43.0¢
- No$2 @ 84.2¢
- OlyBet SB$10 @ 19.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 31.0¢
- Nongshim Red Force$15 @ 42.0¢
- Nongshim Red Force$19 @ 23.0¢
- No$20 @ 80.7¢
- Gen.G$6 @ 87.0¢
- No$25 @ 32.0¢
- Gen.G$10 @ 38.0¢
- No$25 @ 5.0¢
- Top Esports$15 @ 29.7¢
- Fnatic$5 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 60.0¢
- No$25 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 36.0¢
- No$74 @ 35.5¢
- No$77 @ 20.8¢
- Yes$51 @ 52.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
- BNK FEARX$15 @ 49.3¢
- Ninjas in Pyjamas$5 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 16.4¢
- Top Esports$5 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $88 | 46.9¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Politics | Yes | $56 | 50.0¢ |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $38 | 19.0¢ |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? | Economy | Yes | $20 | 22.6¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $18 | 62.1¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 31.0¢ |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | Economy | Yes | $4 | 45.5¢ |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | Economy | Yes | $2 | 39.0¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.6¢ |
- Yes$88 @ 46.9¢
- Yes$56 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 22.6¢
- Yes$18 @ 62.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 45.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 39.0¢
- 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPoliticsYes$1 @ 0.6¢