0x690b…bd2c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x690bfe39089e61f674b8f88d89511c9eff90bd2c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.0pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

90% @ 73.7¢

Brier

0.096

Resolved

203

Avg size

$1.0k

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	21% (9/42)	+10%	42
Politics	69% (18/26)	+2%	26
Geopolitics	100% (3/3)	+2%	3
Economy	100% (1/1)	+10%	1

Other42 bets
Hit rate
21% (9/42)
ROI
+10%
Politics26 bets
Hit rate
69% (18/26)
ROI
+2%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+2%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+10%

Track record

43% hit · 31/72

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner	BNK FEARX	$845	37.4¢	Lost
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	$730	92.0¢	Lost
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs	DN SOOPers Challengers	$272	68.0¢	Lost
LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs	Dark Passage	$38	19.2¢	Lost
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 2 Winner	7REX	$17	5.7¢	Lost
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	$57	39.2¢	Lost
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner	BOMBA Team	$34	16.8¢	Lost
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	KT Rolster	$15	34.0¢	Lost
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster	$34	17.0¢	Lost
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	HANJIN BRION	$10	2.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	Hanwha Life Esports	$315	25.0¢	Lost
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner	Nongshim Esports Academy	$1.6k	84.9¢	Lost
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	KT Rolster	$186	15.3¢	Lost
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	ThunderTalk Gaming	$100	5.0¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	$138	41.2¢	Lost
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	HANJIN BRION	$39	34.0¢	Lost
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	Nongshim Red Force	$2.4k	64.8¢	Lost
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins	Dark Passage	$310	15.5¢	Lost
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	Kiwoom DRX	$51	11.3¢	Lost
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	Weibo Gaming	$197	17.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	$4	86.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	$2.3k	84.4¢	Won
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	Yes	$20	0.2¢	Lost
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Shifters	$1.8k	50.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	$14	48.0¢	Lost
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5	Under	$4.5k	88.5¢	Lost
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$1.7k	96.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$9	90.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$5.9k	81.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	$11.4k	93.0¢	Won
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	$8.8k	91.0¢	Lost
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	$4	86.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	$4	77.0¢	Won
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$1.8k	55.0¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	$5	91.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.9k	55.8¢	Won
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	$4	79.3¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$4	89.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	$5	93.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	$40.0k	97.7¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$5	92.0¢	Won
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	$8	88.0¢	Won
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$1.0k	89.8¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$4.5k	62.0¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$1.3k	78.3¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$10.4k	83.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	$657	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$8	80.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$37.9k	89.2¢	Won
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$41.9k	85.7¢	Won

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerLost
BNK FEARX$845 @ 37.4¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerLost
Hanwha Life Esports$730 @ 92.0¢
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsLost
DN SOOPers Challengers$272 @ 68.0¢
LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsLost
Dark Passage$38 @ 19.2¢
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 2 WinnerLost
7REX$17 @ 5.7¢
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsLost
Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition$57 @ 39.2¢
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 WinnerLost
BOMBA Team$34 @ 16.8¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupLost
KT Rolster$15 @ 34.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerLost
KT Rolster$34 @ 17.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupLost
HANJIN BRION$10 @ 2.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupLost
Hanwha Life Esports$315 @ 25.0¢
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 WinnerLost
Nongshim Esports Academy$1.6k @ 84.9¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupLost
KT Rolster$186 @ 15.3¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLost
ThunderTalk Gaming$100 @ 5.0¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLost
Top Esports$138 @ 41.2¢
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupLost
HANJIN BRION$39 @ 34.0¢
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerLost
Nongshim Red Force$2.4k @ 64.8¢
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-InsLost
Dark Passage$310 @ 15.5¢
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupLost
Kiwoom DRX$51 @ 11.3¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLost
Weibo Gaming$197 @ 17.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 84.4¢
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
Shifters$1.8k @ 50.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETLost
Up$14 @ 48.0¢
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$4.5k @ 88.5¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 96.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$9 @ 90.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$5.9k @ 81.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?Won
No$11.4k @ 93.0¢
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Lost
Yes$8.8k @ 91.0¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Won
No$4 @ 86.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 55.0¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Won
No$5 @ 91.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$2.9k @ 55.8¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Lost
Yes$4 @ 79.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$4 @ 89.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Won
Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Won
Yes$40.0k @ 97.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 92.0¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?Won
No$8 @ 88.0¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$1.0k @ 89.8¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Won
Yes$4.5k @ 62.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 78.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
No$10.4k @ 83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
No$657 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$8 @ 80.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$37.9k @ 89.2¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$41.9k @ 85.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Politics	Yes	$15.9k	91.0¢
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5	—	Under	$4.5k	88.5¢
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	—	Nongshim Red Force	$2.4k	64.8¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	—	Shifters	$1.8k	50.2¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	55.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	—	Yes	$1.7k	96.0¢
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner	—	Nongshim Esports Academy	$1.6k	84.9¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner	—	BNK FEARX	$845	37.4¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	—	Hanwha Life Esports	$730	92.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$500	5.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	—	Hanwha Life Esports	$315	25.0¢
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins	—	Dark Passage	$310	15.5¢
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs	—	DN SOOPers Challengers	$272	68.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$227	9.3¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	—	Weibo Gaming	$197	17.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	—	KT Rolster	$186	15.3¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	—	Top Esports	$138	41.2¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	—	ThunderTalk Gaming	$100	5.0¢
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs	—	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	$57	39.2¢
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	—	Kiwoom DRX	$51	11.3¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	—	Yes	$45	0.1¢
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	—	HANJIN BRION	$39	34.0¢
LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs	—	Dark Passage	$38	19.2¢
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner	—	BOMBA Team	$34	16.8¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	—	KT Rolster	$34	17.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down on October 2?	—	Down	$25	2.5¢
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	—	Yes	$20	0.2¢
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 2 Winner	—	7REX	$17	5.7¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	—	KT Rolster	$15	34.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	—	Up	$14	48.0¢

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics
Yes$15.9k @ 91.0¢
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5—
Under$4.5k @ 88.5¢
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner—
Nongshim Red Force$2.4k @ 64.8¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season—
Shifters$1.8k @ 50.2¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 55.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?—
Yes$1.7k @ 96.0¢
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner—
Nongshim Esports Academy$1.6k @ 84.9¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner—
BNK FEARX$845 @ 37.4¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner—
Hanwha Life Esports$730 @ 92.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$500 @ 5.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group—
Hanwha Life Esports$315 @ 25.0¢
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins—
Dark Passage$310 @ 15.5¢
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs—
DN SOOPers Challengers$272 @ 68.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$227 @ 9.3¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana—
Weibo Gaming$197 @ 17.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group—
KT Rolster$186 @ 15.3¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend—
Top Esports$138 @ 41.2¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend—
ThunderTalk Gaming$100 @ 5.0¢
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs—
Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition$57 @ 39.2¢
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group—
Kiwoom DRX$51 @ 11.3¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?—
Yes$45 @ 0.1¢
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group—
HANJIN BRION$39 @ 34.0¢
LoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs—
Dark Passage$38 @ 19.2¢
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner—
BOMBA Team$34 @ 16.8¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner—
KT Rolster$34 @ 17.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down on October 2?—
Down$25 @ 2.5¢
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?—
Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 2 Winner—
7REX$17 @ 5.7¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group—
KT Rolster$15 @ 34.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET—
Up$14 @ 48.0¢