0x690b…bd2c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x690bfe39089e61f674b8f88d89511c9eff90bd2c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.2pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

89% @ 72.4¢

Brier

0.106

Resolved

175

Avg size

$1.2k

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (9/16)	+20%	16
Politics	73% (8/11)	+20%	11

Other16 bets
Hit rate
56% (9/16)
ROI
+20%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
73% (8/11)
ROI
+20%

Track record

63% hit · 17/27

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$1.0k	89.8¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$4.5k	62.0¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$1.3k	78.3¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	$657	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$8	80.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$37.9k	89.2¢	Won
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$41.9k	85.7¢	Won
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$6.3k	77.4¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$9	3.2¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$3.9k	89.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$7	1.4¢	Lost
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	KT Rolster	$484	34.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	$1.6k	83.7¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	No	$8	1.5¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$52	0.1¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$56.2k	79.9¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$3.5k	60.3¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$500	5.0¢	Lost
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$9	85.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	No	$531	15.2¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$18.6k	87.1¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?	No	$10.7k	88.8¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	$2.6k	87.1¢	Won
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner	FURIA Esports	$7.5k	83.0¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?	No	$4	83.0¢	Lost
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$925	65.7¢	Won
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group	BNK FearX Youth	$714	72.9¢	Lost

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$1.0k @ 89.8¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Won
Yes$4.5k @ 62.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 78.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
No$657 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$8 @ 80.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$37.9k @ 89.2¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$41.9k @ 85.7¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Won
No$6.3k @ 77.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$9 @ 3.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$3.9k @ 89.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Lost
No$7 @ 1.4¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerWon
KT Rolster$484 @ 34.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Won
No$1.6k @ 83.7¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Lost
No$8 @ 1.5¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$52 @ 0.1¢
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Won
Yes$56.2k @ 79.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Won
No$3.5k @ 60.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$500 @ 5.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Lost
No$531 @ 15.2¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$18.6k @ 87.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Won
No$10.7k @ 88.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Won
No$2.6k @ 87.1¢
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerWon
FURIA Esports$7.5k @ 83.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Lost
No$4 @ 83.0¢
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$925 @ 65.7¢
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupLost
BNK FearX Youth$714 @ 72.9¢

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