← Smart money
0x68db…ed44
ProfitableEdge
+32.8pp
ROI
+85%
Win rate
56% @ 22.7¢
Brier
0.398
Resolved
36
Avg size
$61
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | +272% | 2 |
| Other | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +272%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
25% hit · 1/4| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Yes | $151 | 44.8¢ | Lost |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | $952 | 23.2¢ | Won |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $997 | 4.7¢ | Lost |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $107 | 7.5¢ | Lost |
- Yes$151 @ 44.8¢
- Yes$952 @ 23.2¢
- Yes$997 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$107 @ 7.5¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1.4k | 42.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $640 | 64.0¢ |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? | Politics | Yes | $620 | 62.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $620 | 62.0¢ |
- Yes$1.4k @ 42.0¢
- Yes$640 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$620 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$620 @ 62.0¢