← Smart money
0x68d3…82e1
SharpEdge
+11.2pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
75% @ 64.2¢
Brier
0.118
Resolved
1055
Avg size
$70
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 68% (69/101) | +26% | 101 |
| Politics | 59% (17/29) | -17% | 29 |
| Geopolitics | 71% (5/7) | +3% | 7 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +20% | 1 |
- Other101 bets
- Hit rate
- 68% (69/101)
- ROI
- +26%
- Politics29 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (17/29)
- ROI
- -17%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- +3%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +20%
Track record
67% hit · 92/138- No$133 @ 88.8¢
- Yes$182 @ 82.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 64.1¢
- No$49 @ 82.1¢
- Yes$49 @ 49.0¢
- No$14 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 83.5¢
- No$32 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 53.3¢
- Yes$506 @ 73.1¢
- Yes$123 @ 30.8¢
- No$1.0k @ 83.5¢
- Yes$88 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 77.1¢
- Yes$587 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$19 @ 2.8¢
- No$636 @ 72.6¢
- No$160 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 83.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 81.9¢
- Yes$80 @ 80.0¢
- No$151 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$254 @ 86.6¢
- Yes$70 @ 5.9¢
- No$187 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$299 @ 60.8¢
- No$0 @ 89.0¢
- No$13 @ 87.3¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 70.1¢
- No$496 @ 80.8¢
- Yes$320 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$554 @ 66.0¢
- No$672 @ 85.9¢
- Yes$176 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$149 @ 49.7¢
- No$266 @ 88.7¢
- No$175 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$88 @ 88.1¢
- No$379 @ 51.9¢
- No$934 @ 84.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
- No$74 @ 4.4¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 81.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
- No$1.5k @ 63.2¢
- No$172 @ 86.0¢
- No$852 @ 61.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $2.8k | 69.0¢ |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $68 | 34.2¢ |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Science | No | $1 | 11.0¢ |
- No$2.8k @ 69.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 34.2¢
- No$1 @ 11.0¢