← Smart money
0x68b2…a397
SharpEdge
+4.4pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
53% @ 48.1¢
Brier
0.164
Resolved
640
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 44% (92/208) | +25% | 208 |
| Politics | 48% (43/90) | -20% | 90 |
| Tech | 48% (10/21) | -27% | 21 |
| Geopolitics | 52% (11/21) | -8% | 21 |
| Crypto | 29% (5/17) | -13% | 17 |
| Sports | 31% (4/13) | +265% | 13 |
| Culture | 33% (1/3) | -33% | 3 |
- Other208 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (92/208)
- ROI
- +25%
- Politics90 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (43/90)
- ROI
- -20%
- Tech21 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (10/21)
- ROI
- -27%
- Geopolitics21 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (11/21)
- ROI
- -8%
- Crypto17 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (5/17)
- ROI
- -13%
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (4/13)
- ROI
- +265%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -33%
Track record
45% hit · 166/373- No$9 @ 83.5¢
- GIANTX$3 @ 18.0¢
- Natus Vincere$3 @ 83.0¢
- No$1 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 38.6¢
- No$6 @ 10.0¢
- Sentinels$1 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
- No$3 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
- No$9 @ 74.3¢
- No$6 @ 76.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
- No$3 @ 24.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 58.7¢
- No$3 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 41.2¢
- No$3 @ 62.0¢
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming$6 @ 52.0¢
- No$1 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 35.8¢
- No$1 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.4¢
- No$3 @ 73.0¢
- FlyQuest$3 @ 58.0¢
- Sentinels$3 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$6 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.9¢
- No$6 @ 19.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 72.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 10.3¢
- Yes$60 @ 64.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
- No$3 @ 75.0¢
- No$1 @ 77.0¢
- No$3 @ 82.0¢
- Dplus KIA Challengers$6 @ 4.8¢
- No$3 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 63.0¢
- SK Gaming$3 @ 6.3¢
- No$6 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 19.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
- No$3 @ 73.0¢
- No$12 @ 79.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 12.0¢ |
- Yes$10 @ 12.0¢