0x6870…5826

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x68704036bc2c1406fdec781b29127d139e4f5826
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+2.1pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

51% @ 48.8¢

Brier

0.216

Resolved

5843

Avg size

$53

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (389/715)	+3%	715
Sports	43% (13/30)	+69%	30
Politics	25% (1/4)	-65%	4

Other715 bets
Hit rate
54% (389/715)
ROI
+3%
Sports30 bets
Hit rate
43% (13/30)
ROI
+69%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-65%

Track record

54% hit · 403/749

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Knicks vs. Warriors	Knicks	$250	50.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Warriors	Warriors	$282	59.2¢	Won
Suns vs. Rockets	Rockets	$137	68.5¢	Won
76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	$808	27.4¢	Won
76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	$289	46.9¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5	Under	$50	52.0¢	Won
Bulls vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	$194	59.6¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets	Trail Blazers	$88	35.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5	Under	$23	51.3¢	Lost
Clippers vs. Warriors	Clippers	$467	51.9¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$36	65.0¢	Won
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Magic	$256	51.2¢	Lost
76ers vs. Raptors	76ers	$33	47.0¢	Lost
76ers vs. Raptors	Raptors	$400	50.0¢	Won
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)	Heat	$49	49.0¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Heat	Heat	$1.9k	54.3¢	Lost
Heat vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	$178	84.4¢	Won
Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	$510	51.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	Timberwolves	$1.1k	62.2¢	Won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?	Yes	$35	5.7¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$366	48.0¢	Won
Lakers vs. Magic	Lakers	$270	54.0¢	Won
Lakers vs. Magic	Magic	$860	38.2¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$128	61.0¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics	Trail Blazers	$136	18.9¢	Lost
Pelicans vs. Suns	Suns	$327	65.5¢	Won
Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	$228	72.5¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets	Rockets	$435	51.2¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$94	18.4¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Bulls	Timberwolves	$159	60.2¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	$101	78.4¢	Won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers	Nuggets	$265	53.0¢	Won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$375	37.5¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$148	46.0¢	Won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)	Mavericks	$390	52.3¢	Won
Heat vs. Magic	Magic	$98	51.5¢	Won
Bulls vs. Heat	Bulls	$498	63.7¢	Won
Bulls vs. Heat	Heat	$3.6k	56.9¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Rockets	Rockets	$746	62.2¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans	Grizzlies	$232	58.0¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	$667	55.7¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$75	44.8¢	Lost
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$329	47.0¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Kings	Pelicans	$130	65.0¢	Won
Mavericks vs. Bulls	Bulls	$285	57.0¢	Won
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	$129	42.0¢	Won
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Weili	$404	44.2¢	Lost
Magic vs. Heat	Magic	$1.8k	40.5¢	Won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$614	7.6¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	$573	53.1¢	Won

Knicks vs. WarriorsLost
Knicks$250 @ 50.0¢
Knicks vs. WarriorsWon
Warriors$282 @ 59.2¢
Suns vs. RocketsWon
Rockets$137 @ 68.5¢
76ers vs. HornetsWon
76ers$808 @ 27.4¢
76ers vs. HornetsLost
Hornets$289 @ 46.9¢
Grizzlies vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Won
Under$50 @ 52.0¢
Bulls vs. GrizzliesWon
Grizzlies$194 @ 59.6¢
Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsLost
Trail Blazers$88 @ 35.0¢
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Lost
Under$23 @ 51.3¢
Clippers vs. WarriorsWon
Clippers$467 @ 51.9¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$36 @ 65.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Lost
Magic$256 @ 51.2¢
76ers vs. RaptorsLost
76ers$33 @ 47.0¢
76ers vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$400 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Lost
Heat$49 @ 49.0¢
Lakers vs. HeatLost
Heat$1.9k @ 54.3¢
Heat vs. MavericksWon
Mavericks$178 @ 84.4¢
Pistons vs. HeatLost
Pistons$510 @ 51.0¢
Timberwolves vs. ClippersWon
Timberwolves$1.1k @ 62.2¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?Lost
Yes$35 @ 5.7¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$366 @ 48.0¢
Lakers vs. MagicWon
Lakers$270 @ 54.0¢
Lakers vs. MagicLost
Magic$860 @ 38.2¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$128 @ 61.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. CelticsLost
Trail Blazers$136 @ 18.9¢
Pelicans vs. SunsWon
Suns$327 @ 65.5¢
Thunder vs. SunsLost
Thunder$228 @ 72.5¢
Trail Blazers vs. RocketsWon
Rockets$435 @ 51.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$94 @ 18.4¢
Timberwolves vs. BullsWon
Timberwolves$159 @ 60.2¢
Grizzlies vs. JazzWon
Grizzlies$101 @ 78.4¢
Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersWon
Nuggets$265 @ 53.0¢
Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersLost
Trail Blazers$375 @ 37.5¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
Ciryl Gane$148 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Won
Mavericks$390 @ 52.3¢
Heat vs. MagicWon
Magic$98 @ 51.5¢
Bulls vs. HeatWon
Bulls$498 @ 63.7¢
Bulls vs. HeatLost
Heat$3.6k @ 56.9¢
Grizzlies vs. RocketsWon
Rockets$746 @ 62.2¢
Grizzlies vs. PelicansLost
Grizzlies$232 @ 58.0¢
Grizzlies vs. PelicansWon
Pelicans$667 @ 55.7¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$75 @ 44.8¢
Hawks vs. Trail BlazersWon
Trail Blazers$329 @ 47.0¢
Pelicans vs. KingsWon
Pelicans$130 @ 65.0¢
Mavericks vs. BullsWon
Bulls$285 @ 57.0¢
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Won
Yes$129 @ 42.0¢
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Weili$404 @ 44.2¢
Magic vs. HeatWon
Magic$1.8k @ 40.5¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$614 @ 7.6¢
Warriors vs. ClippersWon
Clippers$573 @ 53.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Hawks vs. Magic	Sports	Hawks	$350	43.0¢
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Sports	Movsar Evloev	$250	50.0¢
Warriors vs. Lakers	Sports	Lakers	$73	66.0¢

Hawks vs. MagicSports
Hawks$350 @ 43.0¢
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)Sports
Movsar Evloev$250 @ 50.0¢
Warriors vs. LakersSports
Lakers$73 @ 66.0¢