0x684d…7271

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x684d4c641c42da041fd39238a9b87f3ebb757271
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+14.1pp

ROI

+40%

Win rate

65% @ 50.6¢

Brier

0.234

Resolved

238

Avg size

$749

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (31/62)	+13%	62
Sports	25% (1/4)	+248%	4
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other62 bets
Hit rate
50% (31/62)
ROI
+13%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+248%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

48% hit · 32/67

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$1000	85.7¢	Won
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	$21	17.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?	Yes	$4.4k	35.2¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	$1.4k	14.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?	Yes	$16	8.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$51	50.7¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$3.2k	53.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	No	$6.0k	59.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$7.2k	72.0¢	Won
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	$52	16.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on November 8?	No	$590	59.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$6.2k	60.5¢	Won
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	$21	13.0¢	Lost
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?	Yes	$100	38.7¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5	Under	$51	59.2¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 16?	Yes	$2.5k	62.5¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$22	31.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$22.7k	87.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 10?	No	$850	85.0¢	Won
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$1.6k	16.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?	No	$890	89.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	$6.1k	60.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$2.5k	24.5¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Over	$41	47.0¢	Won
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by April 30?	No	$819	89.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?	No	$911	65.0¢	Won
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Feyenoord Rotterdam	$2.2k	42.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$10.1k	64.0¢	Lost
Spread: England (-1.5)	DR Congo	$41	52.0¢	Won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Spain	$92	35.5¢	Lost
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5	Over	$2.1k	41.5¢	Lost
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5	Under	$6.0k	59.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?	Yes	$6.4k	64.0¢	Won
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	Argentina	$4.7k	46.3¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	$8.0k	60.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16.5k	18.1¢	Won
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?	Yes	$105	3.4¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$43	53.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?	Yes	$21	11.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?	Yes	$16	6.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	$22	27.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Under	$1.9k	46.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	$20	30.0¢	Won
France vs. England: O/U 3.5	Over	$31	45.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$12.3k	83.1¢	Won
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	$52	9.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 30?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10.1k	72.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 14?	Yes	$804	80.4¢	Won
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	Yes	$21	15.5¢	Lost

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$1000 @ 85.7¢
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?Lost
Yes$21 @ 17.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?Lost
Yes$4.4k @ 35.2¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 14.0¢
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?Lost
Yes$16 @ 8.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$51 @ 50.7¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$3.2k @ 53.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Won
No$6.0k @ 59.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?Won
Yes$7.2k @ 72.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?Lost
Yes$52 @ 16.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on November 8?Lost
No$590 @ 59.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$6.2k @ 60.5¢
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?Lost
Yes$21 @ 13.0¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Lost
Yes$100 @ 38.7¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Won
Under$51 @ 59.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 16?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 62.5¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$22 @ 31.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$22.7k @ 87.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 10?Won
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 16.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Won
No$890 @ 89.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?Won
Yes$6.1k @ 60.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 24.5¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Won
Over$41 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by April 30?Won
No$819 @ 89.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?Won
No$911 @ 65.0¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Lost
Feyenoord Rotterdam$2.2k @ 42.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?Lost
Yes$10.1k @ 64.0¢
Spread: England (-1.5)Won
DR Congo$41 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Lost
Spain$92 @ 35.5¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$2.1k @ 41.5¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Won
Under$6.0k @ 59.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?Won
Yes$6.4k @ 64.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$4.7k @ 46.3¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?Lost
Yes$8.0k @ 60.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$16.5k @ 18.1¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?Lost
Yes$105 @ 3.4¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
France$43 @ 53.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?Lost
Yes$21 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?Lost
Yes$16 @ 6.0¢
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Lost
Yes$22 @ 27.0¢
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$1.9k @ 46.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Won
Yes$20 @ 30.0¢
France vs. England: O/U 3.5Won
Over$31 @ 45.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$12.3k @ 83.1¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?Lost
Yes$52 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 30?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$10.1k @ 72.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 14?Won
Yes$804 @ 80.4¢
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?Lost
Yes$21 @ 15.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Sports	Yes	$7.9k	60.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	—	Yes	$5.0k	50.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Politics	No	$4.9k	82.1¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$2.4k	24.5¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	—	Feyenoord Rotterdam	$2.2k	42.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$2.0k	87.0¢
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$1.8k	46.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	—	Yes	$1.4k	14.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?	—	Yes	$100	3.4¢
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	—	Yes	$100	3.0¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	—	Spain	$89	35.5¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Sports	Yes	$66	6.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?	—	Yes	$50	16.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	—	Yes	$50	9.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	—	Yes	$43	42.7¢
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	—	Yes	$21	13.0¢
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	—	Yes	$20	17.0¢
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	—	Yes	$20	15.5¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?	—	Yes	$20	11.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	—	Yes	$20	9.0¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?	—	Yes	$15	6.0¢
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?	—	Yes	$15	8.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$0	85.0¢

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?Sports
Yes$7.9k @ 60.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?—
Yes$5.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics
No$4.9k @ 82.1¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$2.4k @ 24.5¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)—
Feyenoord Rotterdam$2.2k @ 42.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$2.0k @ 87.0¢
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5—
Under$1.8k @ 46.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?—
Yes$1.4k @ 14.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?—
Yes$100 @ 3.4¢
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?—
Yes$100 @ 3.0¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)—
Spain$89 @ 35.5¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Sports
Yes$66 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?—
Yes$50 @ 16.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?—
Yes$50 @ 9.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?—
Yes$43 @ 42.7¢
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?—
Yes$21 @ 13.0¢
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?—
Yes$20 @ 17.0¢
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?—
Yes$20 @ 15.5¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?—
Yes$20 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?—
Yes$20 @ 9.0¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?—
Yes$15 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?—
Yes$15 @ 8.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
Yes$0 @ 85.0¢