← Smart money
0x683a…3b03
ProfitableEdge
+4.5pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
50% @ 45.7¢
Brier
0.180
Resolved
956
Avg size
$246
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (121/226) | +3% | 226 |
| Sports | 55% (23/42) | +17% | 42 |
| Tech | 67% (2/3) | -18% | 3 |
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | -24% | 3 |
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | +26% | 3 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other226 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (121/226)
- ROI
- +3%
- Sports42 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (23/42)
- ROI
- +17%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -18%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -24%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +26%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
54% hit · 150/278- Yes$198 @ 60.0¢
- Qatar$202 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 44.5¢
- Yes$100 @ 9.3¢
- Yes$609 @ 49.7¢
- No$400 @ 43.5¢
- Yes$610 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 41.9¢
- PSG$590 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$304 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$592 @ 74.0¢
- Over$102 @ 28.0¢
- Spurs$942 @ 60.5¢
- Yes$800 @ 56.2¢
- Álvarez$369 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$517 @ 48.6¢
- Yes$695 @ 43.2¢
- Alex Pereira$233 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$203 @ 44.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 55.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 34.5¢
- Over$253 @ 55.0¢
- No$575 @ 76.7¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 13.9¢
- Yes$516 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$650 @ 65.0¢
- Over$203 @ 52.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 20.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$315 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$250 @ 3.4¢
- Gamrot$1.0k @ 51.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$216 @ 27.0¢
- Netherlands$1.1k @ 51.5¢
- No$5.0k @ 83.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 23.7¢
- Yes$150 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$460 @ 46.0¢
- Seahawks$1.1k @ 68.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$321 @ 64.3¢
- No$3.0k @ 68.1¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 46.0¢
- Yes$88 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 55.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | Sports | Yes | $198 | 60.0¢ |
- Yes$198 @ 60.0¢