← Smart money
0x6725…1bf9
SharpEdge
+8.8pp
ROI
+80%
Win rate
37% @ 28.6¢
Brier
0.203
Resolved
609
Avg size
$42
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 40% (86/213) | +65% | 213 |
| Politics | 35% (27/78) | +73% | 78 |
| Sports | 47% (9/19) | +189% | 19 |
| Geopolitics | 29% (2/7) | +196% | 7 |
| Crypto | 33% (2/6) | +209% | 6 |
| Culture | 33% (1/3) | -41% | 3 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | +43% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +83% | 1 |
- Other213 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (86/213)
- ROI
- +65%
- Politics78 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (27/78)
- ROI
- +73%
- Sports19 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (9/19)
- ROI
- +189%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (2/7)
- ROI
- +196%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- +209%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -41%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +43%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +83%
Track record
39% hit · 129/329- GamerLegion$20 @ 59.0¢
- No$333 @ 57.5¢
- Team Vitality$22 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$58 @ 40.4¢
- G2$30 @ 53.8¢
- magic$31 @ 44.0¢
- MOUZ$30 @ 30.0¢
- South America Rejects$83 @ 37.0¢
- FURIA Esports$13 @ 36.4¢
- South America Rejects$20 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$327 @ 9.0¢
- Nemiga Gaming$31 @ 36.8¢
- Natus Vincere$10 @ 31.0¢
- Conventus Stellarum$10 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 14.4¢
- Natus Vincere$21 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$191 @ 54.1¢
- Yes$149 @ 31.2¢
- Pipsqueak+4$21 @ 48.0¢
- RED Canids$12 @ 56.0¢
- No$100 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- PlayTime$26 @ 36.0¢
- Astralis$40 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$18 @ 12.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Team Heretics$30 @ 44.8¢
- Yes$226 @ 5.8¢
- TEAM VISION$26 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 33.3¢
- Movistar KOI$21 @ 24.9¢
- Team Spirit$27 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$93 @ 23.7¢
- PlayTime$15 @ 34.0¢
- No$26 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 0.6¢
- No$153 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
- Natus Vincere$38 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$180 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$148 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 18.5¢
- Team Liquid$50 @ 58.5¢
- PARIVISION$20 @ 57.0¢
- 3DMAX$10 @ 35.0¢
- Natus Vincere$19 @ 51.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 10.0¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 43.0¢ |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by September 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $40 | 10.0¢ |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Sports | GamerLegion | $20 | 59.0¢ |
| Will Trump praise Jon Rahm in September? | Politics | Yes | $15 | 19.0¢ |
- Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 10.0¢
- GamerLegion$20 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 19.0¢