0x6718…e623

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6718edeb32676842cd608e4b9a254b512854e623
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.0pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

75% @ 65.2¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

391

Avg size

$58

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	67% (45/67)	+7%	67
Tech	73% (19/26)	+26%	26
Politics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+61%	1

Other67 bets
Hit rate
67% (45/67)
ROI
+7%
Tech26 bets
Hit rate
73% (19/26)
ROI
+26%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+61%

Track record

66% hit · 65/98

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	Yes	$10	71.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$659	65.9¢	Won
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$328	82.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$325	65.0¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	$231	77.0¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$80	20.0¢	Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$160	80.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	Yes	$216	72.0¢	Won
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on October 31?	Yes	$26	13.0¢	Lost
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$496	62.0¢	Won
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?	Yes	$450	85.8¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$60	12.0¢	Lost
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	No	$144	72.0¢	Won
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day	Up	$171	57.0¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	$253	84.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$68	34.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$78	39.0¢	Won
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$290	58.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$81	27.0¢	Lost
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$348	87.0¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$158	78.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$236	59.0¢	Won
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$266	88.0¢	Won
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	No	$150	30.0¢	Lost
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	Yes	$122	81.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$765	58.8¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$460	85.7¢	Won
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?	No	$451	75.0¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?	Yes	$261	87.0¢	Won
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$70	70.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$390	65.0¢	Won
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	$224	49.1¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$169	33.9¢	Won
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	$257	85.0¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?	Yes	$164	82.0¢	Won
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$18	72.0¢	Won
Will Innsbruck host Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$315	78.0¢	Won
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?	No	$98	39.0¢	Won
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?	Yes	$165	55.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$112	12.0¢	Lost
Will anyone say "Cloud infrastructure" 3+ times during Oracle's 1st Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Announcement?	Yes	$37	62.0¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$16	16.0¢	Lost
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$228	76.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$213	71.0¢	Won
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?	Up	$230	45.0¢	Won
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?	No	$10	72.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?	No	$25	25.0¢	Won
Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$261	87.0¢	Won

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Won
Yes$10 @ 71.0¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
Yes$659 @ 65.9¢
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$328 @ 82.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$325 @ 65.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
No$231 @ 77.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$80 @ 20.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
Yes$160 @ 80.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Won
Yes$216 @ 72.0¢
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on October 31?Lost
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Won
No$496 @ 62.0¢
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Won
Yes$450 @ 85.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Won
No$144 @ 72.0¢
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayWon
Up$171 @ 57.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
No$253 @ 84.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$68 @ 34.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$78 @ 39.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$290 @ 58.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$81 @ 27.0¢
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$348 @ 87.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
No$158 @ 78.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$236 @ 59.0¢
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$266 @ 88.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Lost
No$150 @ 30.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Won
Yes$122 @ 81.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$765 @ 58.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Won
Yes$460 @ 85.7¢
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?Lost
No$451 @ 75.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Won
Yes$261 @ 87.0¢
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$70 @ 70.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Won
No$390 @ 65.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Lost
Yes$224 @ 49.1¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Won
Yes$169 @ 33.9¢
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Won
No$257 @ 85.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Won
Yes$164 @ 82.0¢
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?Won
Yes$18 @ 72.0¢
Will Innsbruck host Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Won
Yes$315 @ 78.0¢
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?Won
No$98 @ 39.0¢
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?Lost
Yes$165 @ 55.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Lost
Yes$112 @ 12.0¢
Will anyone say "Cloud infrastructure" 3+ times during Oracle's 1st Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Announcement?Won
Yes$37 @ 62.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$228 @ 76.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$213 @ 71.0¢
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Won
Up$230 @ 45.0¢
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?Won
No$10 @ 72.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?Won
No$25 @ 25.0¢
Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$261 @ 87.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Business	Yes	$1.0k	73.4¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	Yes	$643	64.5¢
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Tech	Yes	$455	65.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$429	71.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Tech	Yes	$420	84.0¢
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Tech	Yes	$164	54.8¢
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$153	72.6¢
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$20	10.0¢
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$12	3.0¢
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	Yes	$11	1.8¢
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	Yes	$10	1.4¢

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
Yes$1.0k @ 73.4¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
Yes$643 @ 64.5¢
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
Yes$455 @ 65.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$429 @ 71.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
Yes$420 @ 84.0¢
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
Yes$164 @ 54.8¢
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$153 @ 72.6¢
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$12 @ 3.0¢
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
Yes$11 @ 1.8¢
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢