0x670b…c31f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x670bd4db5b5a1cd8ddc5d3c57a77df880c36c31f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.1pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

46% @ 36.8¢

Brier

0.133

Resolved

205

Avg size

$69

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (22/46)	+12%	46
Politics	50% (8/16)	+22%	16
Sports	33% (1/3)	-9%	3
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other46 bets
Hit rate
48% (22/46)
ROI
+12%
Politics16 bets
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
ROI
+22%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-9%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 31/66

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	No	$503	7.1¢	Lost
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	Yes	$110	11.0¢	Won
Buccaneers vs. Bears	Bears	$100	76.8¢	Won
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$228	68.2¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$48	64.0¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$815	76.0¢	Won
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	$255	51.0¢	Lost
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	$1.6k	56.9¢	Won
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?	Yes	$19	2.7¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$619	84.2¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$54	27.0¢	Lost
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?	Yes	$264	14.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	No	$75	75.0¢	Won
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$172	86.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$311	46.3¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$273	47.0¢	Won
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?	Yes	$30	7.4¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	$287	38.6¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$2	1.1¢	Lost
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	Yes	$93	6.9¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	67.3¢	Won
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	Yes	$3	16.0¢	Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$34	17.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$440	44.0¢	Won
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?	No	$45	89.5¢	Won
Spread: Bears (-7.5)	Bears	$30	45.0¢	Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: January	No	$133	31.7¢	Won
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei	No	$88	35.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	$5	1.5¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	$17	17.1¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	No	$172	86.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	Yes	$78	17.4¢	Lost
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	Silver	$73	73.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$265	37.9¢	Won
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$343	60.1¢	Won
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$208	52.0¢	Won
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?	No	$149	72.9¢	Won
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$166	83.0¢	Won
Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	$13	64.0¢	Lost
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?	No	$161	80.5¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?	Yes	$98	49.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	$470	18.8¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$372	26.6¢	Lost
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	$99	33.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	$108	7.2¢	Lost
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$45	21.0¢	Lost
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	$10	5.1¢	Lost
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Lost
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?	Yes	$150	18.8¢	Lost

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Lost
No$503 @ 7.1¢
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Won
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢
Buccaneers vs. BearsWon
Bears$100 @ 76.8¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
No$228 @ 68.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$48 @ 64.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$815 @ 76.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseLost
No$255 @ 51.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
Yes$1.6k @ 56.9¢
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?Lost
Yes$19 @ 2.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$619 @ 84.2¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$54 @ 27.0¢
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Lost
Yes$264 @ 14.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Won
No$75 @ 75.0¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
Yes$172 @ 86.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Lost
No$311 @ 46.3¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$273 @ 47.0¢
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?Lost
Yes$30 @ 7.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Lost
No$287 @ 38.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$2 @ 1.1¢
US strike on Mexico by January 31?Lost
Yes$93 @ 6.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 67.3¢
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 16.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Won
Yes$440 @ 44.0¢
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?Won
No$45 @ 89.5¢
Spread: Bears (-7.5)Lost
Bears$30 @ 45.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryWon
No$133 @ 31.7¢
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiWon
No$88 @ 35.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Lost
No$5 @ 1.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Lost
Yes$17 @ 17.1¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Won
No$172 @ 86.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$78 @ 17.4¢
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?Won
Silver$73 @ 73.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$265 @ 37.9¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$343 @ 60.1¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
No$208 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?Won
No$149 @ 72.9¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Won
Yes$166 @ 83.0¢
Spread: Bears (-3.5)Lost
Bears$13 @ 64.0¢
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Won
No$161 @ 80.5¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Won
Yes$98 @ 49.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Lost
Yes$470 @ 18.8¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$372 @ 26.6¢
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Lost
Yes$99 @ 33.0¢
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Lost
Yes$108 @ 7.2¢
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$45 @ 21.0¢
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.1¢
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Lost
Yes$150 @ 18.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$148	74.2¢
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$102	6.4¢
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$63	4.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$48	64.0¢
Spread: Bears (-7.5)	Sports	Bears	$30	45.0¢
Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Sports	Bears	$13	64.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	—	No	$2	1.1¢

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
No$148 @ 74.2¢
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$102 @ 6.4¢
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$63 @ 4.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$48 @ 64.0¢
Spread: Bears (-7.5)Sports
Bears$30 @ 45.0¢
Spread: Bears (-3.5)Sports
Bears$13 @ 64.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?—
No$2 @ 1.1¢