0x66a1…80d9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x66a1db98713015330a82f08273b682bee77e80d9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.1pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

33% @ 19.5¢

Brier

0.185

Resolved

681

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	15% (11/75)	-21%	75
Tech	8% (3/38)	-81%	38
Other	26% (10/38)	+72%	38
Science	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Geopolitics	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Crypto	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Sports	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Economy	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics75 bets
Hit rate
15% (11/75)
ROI
-21%
Tech38 bets
Hit rate
8% (3/38)
ROI
-81%
Other38 bets
Hit rate
26% (10/38)
ROI
+72%
Science8 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

14% hit · 24/174

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?	No	$85	11.9¢	Lost
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	1.6¢	Lost
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	$16	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	No	$43	86.8¢	Won
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$20	19.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on June 24?	Yes	$4	0.3¢	Lost
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?	No	$48	19.4¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?	Yes	$122	43.3¢	Lost
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$71	4.7¢	Lost
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	$3	2.7¢	Lost
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$19	4.8¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?	Yes	$7	3.3¢	Lost
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	Yes	$13	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?	No	$61	20.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	$170	72.8¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	No	$29	11.8¢	Lost
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$82	81.5¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$30	7.6¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$335	51.8¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$371	49.6¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 24?	Yes	$4	0.3¢	Lost
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	$12	12.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 25?	No	$203	81.2¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 25?	Yes	$5	0.4¢	Lost
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	No	$44	87.7¢	Won
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?	Yes	$10	6.7¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?	No	$84	18.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	$209	70.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27?	No	$7	6.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	$27	84.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?	No	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?	Yes	$4	10.0¢	Lost
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	$3	2.2¢	Lost
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	No	$21	13.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?	No	$127	9.8¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?	Yes	$68	36.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 27?	No	$2	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 26?	No	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?	Yes	$1	1.7¢	Lost
Will there be 10+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$6	1.4¢	Lost
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$85 @ 11.9¢
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.6¢
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.1¢
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Won
No$43 @ 86.8¢
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$20 @ 19.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on June 24?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.3¢
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?Won
No$48 @ 19.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 24?Lost
Yes$122 @ 43.3¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$71 @ 4.7¢
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 4.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.3¢
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?Lost
Yes$13 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?Lost
No$61 @ 20.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?Won
Yes$170 @ 72.8¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Lost
No$29 @ 11.8¢
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$82 @ 81.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$30 @ 7.6¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
No$335 @ 51.8¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
Yes$371 @ 49.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 24?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.3¢
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 25?Won
No$203 @ 81.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 25?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Won
No$44 @ 87.7¢
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.7¢
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-06 House seat?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?Lost
No$84 @ 18.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?Won
Yes$209 @ 70.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27?Lost
No$7 @ 6.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27?Won
Yes$27 @ 84.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.0¢
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.2¢
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Lost
No$21 @ 13.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?Won
No$127 @ 9.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?Lost
Yes$68 @ 36.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 27?Lost
No$2 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 26?Lost
No$1 @ 1.3¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
Will there be 10+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$6 @ 1.4¢
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	Yes	$225	42.9¢
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$189	7.1¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$144	90.1¢
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$134	80.9¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	—	Yes	$131	88.0¢
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$100	3.7¢
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	No	$90	90.2¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	Yes	$83	4.1¢
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$82	7.5¢
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$80	13.9¢
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$77	7.5¢
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$73	4.9¢
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$73	4.1¢
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$70	87.9¢
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$70	6.4¢
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$69	34.5¢
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Politics	Yes	$67	5.4¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$59	5.4¢
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Politics	No	$59	81.3¢
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Politics	No	$56	56.0¢
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$55	12.5¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$55	57.2¢
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?	—	Yes	$52	86.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$52	6.5¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	—	Yes	$52	86.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$52	86.0¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	Yes	$50	16.8¢
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$48	41.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$48	47.5¢
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$47	4.6¢

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
Yes$225 @ 42.9¢
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$189 @ 7.1¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$144 @ 90.1¢
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$134 @ 80.9¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?—
Yes$131 @ 88.0¢
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?Politics
Yes$100 @ 3.7¢
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
No$90 @ 90.2¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
Yes$83 @ 4.1¢
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Politics
Yes$82 @ 7.5¢
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$80 @ 13.9¢
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech
Yes$77 @ 7.5¢
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech
Yes$73 @ 4.9¢
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$73 @ 4.1¢
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto
Yes$70 @ 87.9¢
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?Politics
Yes$70 @ 6.4¢
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$69 @ 34.5¢
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
Yes$67 @ 5.4¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Other
Yes$59 @ 5.4¢
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics
No$59 @ 81.3¢
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics
No$56 @ 56.0¢
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech
Yes$55 @ 12.5¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$55 @ 57.2¢
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?—
Yes$52 @ 86.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Other
Yes$52 @ 6.5¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?—
Yes$52 @ 86.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$52 @ 86.0¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
Yes$50 @ 16.8¢
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$48 @ 41.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$48 @ 47.5¢
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Politics
Yes$47 @ 4.6¢