← Smart money
0x6653…b6fb
ProfitableEdge
+13.3pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
53% @ 39.6¢
Brier
0.241
Resolved
87
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (15/30) | +38% | 30 |
| Politics | 67% (4/6) | -22% | 6 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +36% | 1 |
- Other30 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (15/30)
- ROI
- +38%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- -22%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +36%
Track record
53% hit · 20/38- Karen Khachanov$35 @ 39.2¢
- Ella Seidel$5 @ 37.0¢
- No$41 @ 69.2¢
- Arthur Rinderknech$15 @ 35.8¢
- Laslo Djere$19 @ 35.3¢
- Ugo Humbert$10 @ 69.5¢
- Over$10 @ 37.6¢
- Under$5 @ 42.6¢
- No$1 @ 69.0¢
- No$11 @ 73.6¢
- Ben Shelton$15 @ 62.3¢
- Daniel Altmaier$20 @ 21.0¢
- Over$10 @ 48.0¢
- No$10 @ 14.0¢
- 1WIN$15 @ 50.5¢
- Nuclear TigeRES$15 @ 56.0¢
- No$36 @ 54.8¢
- Mumbai Indians$56 @ 13.9¢
- Leylah Fernandez$5 @ 53.0¢
- Magdalena Frech$5 @ 20.0¢
- Gabriela Ruse$1 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 33.6¢
- No$1 @ 0.1¢
- Liquid$5 @ 23.0¢
- No$2 @ 73.0¢
- Harry Wendelken$5 @ 62.0¢
- Alexander Shevchenko$4 @ 19.5¢
- 100 Thieves$5 @ 19.7¢
- Nuclear TigeRES$10 @ 58.0¢
- No$2 @ 53.0¢
- No$5 @ 63.0¢
- No$1 @ 70.0¢
- Lukas Neumayer$5 @ 25.0¢
- No$1 @ 54.0¢
- Priscilla Hon$15 @ 37.2¢
- Nuclear TigeRES$15 @ 25.1¢
- Petr Bar Biryukov$5 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 12.8¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $5 | 40.2¢ |
- Yes$5 @ 40.2¢