0x6519…611b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6519259c2b215ee3c958e57276ac9d679d3e611b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-16.5pp

ROI

+33%

Win rate

33% @ 49.0¢

Brier

0.174

Resolved

Avg size

$337

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (5/13)	+37%	13
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other13 bets
Hit rate
38% (5/13)
ROI
+37%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

33% hit · 5/15

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$200	0.3¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$312	20.5¢	Lost
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	Yes	$2.1k	36.8¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$15.6k	67.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	$250	49.3¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$200	37.0¢	Lost
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.3k	25.8¢	Lost
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$1.5k	68.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?	Yes	$628	82.8¢	Won
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$300	27.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 3?	Yes	$60	40.0¢	Lost
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	Yes	$14	48.0¢	Lost
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?	Yes	$255	87.5¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	$111	22.8¢	Lost
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	$1.0k	3.0¢	Lost

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$200 @ 0.3¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Lost
Yes$312 @ 20.5¢
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 36.8¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$15.6k @ 67.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 4?Lost
Yes$250 @ 49.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$200 @ 37.0¢
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 25.8¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 68.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?Won
Yes$628 @ 82.8¢
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Lost
Yes$300 @ 27.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 3?Lost
Yes$60 @ 40.0¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Lost
Yes$14 @ 48.0¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?Won
Yes$255 @ 87.5¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Lost
Yes$111 @ 22.8¢
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Lost
No$1.0k @ 3.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$4.5k	88.4¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Politics	Yes	$1.9k	83.5¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Politics	No	$1.3k	84.0¢
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	—	Yes	$851	63.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$358	84.8¢
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	—	No	$306	81.3¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	—	No	$304	88.0¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?	—	No	$271	89.0¢
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	—	No	$250	91.5¢
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	—	No	$240	96.0¢
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	—	No	$203	86.2¢
Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	—	No	$170	91.8¢
Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	—	No	$55	90.0¢
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	—	No	$1	61.0¢

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$4.5k @ 88.4¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics
Yes$1.9k @ 83.5¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics
No$1.3k @ 84.0¢
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?—
Yes$851 @ 63.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$358 @ 84.8¢
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?—
No$306 @ 81.3¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?—
No$304 @ 88.0¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?—
No$271 @ 89.0¢
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?—
No$250 @ 91.5¢
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?—
No$240 @ 96.0¢
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?—
No$203 @ 86.2¢
Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?—
No$170 @ 91.8¢
Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?—
No$55 @ 90.0¢
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?—
No$1 @ 61.0¢