0x64db…8c8e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x64dbeb0a10678b1ff708320b19654c5d40a98c8e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.5pp

ROI

+56%

Win rate

49% @ 38.3¢

Brier

0.213

Resolved

980

Avg size

$198

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (60/123)	+42%	123
Sports	50% (8/16)	+10%	16
Politics	70% (7/10)	+165%	10
Science	50% (2/4)	-46%	4
Culture	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+37%	1

Other123 bets
Hit rate
49% (60/123)
ROI
+42%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
ROI
+10%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
70% (7/10)
ROI
+165%
Science4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-46%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+37%

Track record

50% hit · 78/157

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	$2.9k	82.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$9	22.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 82 and 83 million views on week 1?	Yes	$1.6k	16.0¢	Lost
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?	No	$6	6.8¢	Lost
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	69.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$262	10.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?	No	$22	22.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?	Yes	$1.4k	27.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$527	52.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?	Yes	$107	5.0¢	Lost
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	$4.4k	87.7¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	$970	64.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 34.5 million views on day 4?	No	$81	78.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?	No	$67	70.0¢	Won
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	$24	70.0¢	Won
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$789	81.0¢	Won
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	$810	30.0¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?	No	$632	40.8¢	Won
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$41	10.6¢	Lost
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	$1.5k	60.0¢	Won
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$10	5.8¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50.5 and 51.0 million views on day 6?	Yes	$1000	71.4¢	Won
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$96	3.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34.5 and 35.0 million views on day 4?	No	$1.6k	82.1¢	Won
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?	Yes	$145	5.8¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more?	Yes	$22	1.1¢	Lost
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?	No	$144	13.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	$428	34.2¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$4.1k	69.6¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	No	$1.1k	10.2¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38.5 and 39.0 million views on day 6?	No	$140	83.0¢	Won
Spread: England (-2.5)	Croatia	$834	83.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?	Yes	$500	5.6¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	Yes	$1.0k	14.9¢	Won
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?	No	$4.6k	75.2¢	Won
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?	Yes	$1000	41.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$998	5.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?	Yes	$63	63.0¢	Won
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?	No	$68	52.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$3.6k	73.0¢	Won
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	No	$2.1k	21.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$865	1.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 65 million views on day 3?	Yes	$195	64.0¢	Won
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$425	84.9¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4?	No	$4.8k	68.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 4?	Yes	$1.1k	64.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?	No	$6.1k	87.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?	Yes	$158	80.0¢	Won
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?	No	$529	1.0¢	Lost
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$257	2.5¢	Lost

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
No$2.9k @ 82.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$9 @ 22.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 82 and 83 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 16.0¢
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$6 @ 6.8¢
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 69.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$262 @ 10.7¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?Won
No$22 @ 22.0¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 27.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$527 @ 52.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?Lost
Yes$107 @ 5.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Won
No$4.4k @ 87.7¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$970 @ 64.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 34.5 million views on day 4?Won
No$81 @ 78.0¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?Won
No$67 @ 70.0¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Won
No$24 @ 70.0¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
Yes$789 @ 81.0¢
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Lost
No$810 @ 30.0¢
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?Won
No$632 @ 40.8¢
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$41 @ 10.6¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 60.0¢
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50.5 and 51.0 million views on day 6?Won
Yes$1000 @ 71.4¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Lost
Yes$96 @ 3.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34.5 and 35.0 million views on day 4?Won
No$1.6k @ 82.1¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?Lost
Yes$145 @ 5.8¢
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more?Lost
Yes$22 @ 1.1¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Lost
No$144 @ 13.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Won
No$428 @ 34.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$4.1k @ 69.6¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 10.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38.5 and 39.0 million views on day 6?Won
No$140 @ 83.0¢
Spread: England (-2.5)Won
Croatia$834 @ 83.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$500 @ 5.6¢
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 14.9¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Won
No$4.6k @ 75.2¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Lost
Yes$1000 @ 41.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$998 @ 5.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?Won
Yes$63 @ 63.0¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?Won
No$68 @ 52.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$3.6k @ 73.0¢
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Lost
No$2.1k @ 21.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$865 @ 1.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 65 million views on day 3?Won
Yes$195 @ 64.0¢
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
No$425 @ 84.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4?Won
No$4.8k @ 68.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 4?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 64.5¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?Lost
No$6.1k @ 87.0¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?Won
Yes$158 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Lost
No$529 @ 1.0¢
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$257 @ 2.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$5.7k	81.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Politics	No	$3.3k	82.0¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Culture	Yes	$3.1k	63.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$2.0k	41.0¢
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Science	No	$1.4k	52.0¢
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	95.5¢
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%?	Politics	Yes	$49	57.4¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?	Politics	Yes	$43	95.0¢
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Culture	Yes	$41	3.0¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$5.7k @ 81.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
No$3.3k @ 82.0¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Culture
Yes$3.1k @ 63.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$2.0k @ 41.0¢
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Science
No$1.4k @ 52.0¢
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 95.5¢
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%?Politics
Yes$49 @ 57.4¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?Politics
Yes$43 @ 95.0¢
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Culture
Yes$41 @ 3.0¢