0x64c2…b27d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x64c21f471a31d3e9b3a65c7643128a91b520b27d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+20.9pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

87% @ 65.9¢

Brier

0.106

Resolved

106

Avg size

$175

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	60% (12/20)	+35%	20
Politics	38% (3/8)	+50%	8
Tech	100% (1/1)	+89%	1
Sports	100% (1/1)	+18%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other20 bets
Hit rate
60% (12/20)
ROI
+35%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
ROI
+50%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+89%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

55% hit · 17/31

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season	NightBirds	$5	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	$23	42.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$289	74.3¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Vitality	$5	78.0¢	Won
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$8	69.3¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$14	26.0¢	Lost
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$3	28.9¢	Lost
Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics	Athletics	$6	58.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	72.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	$2	1.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$22	52.0¢	Won
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	$9	84.5¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$2.6k	69.5¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$90	74.0¢	Won
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Top Esports	$5	66.0¢	Lost
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?	No	$14	53.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$31	60.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$163	41.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.5k	67.9¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	4.3¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$74	72.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$38	38.0¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	No	$3.6k	75.4¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?	Yes	$16	0.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	$3.0k	79.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	$22	87.0¢	Won
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	$2	3.1¢	Lost
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	$12	79.0¢	Won
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	$4.9k	65.1¢	Won
Denis Yevseyev vs. Yanki Erel: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	$3	63.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	No	$57	28.9¢	Lost

LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonWon
NightBirds$5 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Won
No$23 @ 42.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
No$289 @ 74.3¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BWon
Vitality$5 @ 78.0¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
Yes$8 @ 69.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
No$14 @ 26.0¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Lost
Yes$3 @ 28.9¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. AthleticsLost
Athletics$6 @ 58.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 72.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Won
No$22 @ 52.0¢
Will Rodri join Barcelona?Won
Yes$9 @ 84.5¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 69.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Won
Yes$90 @ 74.0¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLost
Top Esports$5 @ 66.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Won
No$14 @ 53.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$31 @ 60.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$163 @ 41.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$3.5k @ 67.9¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$74 @ 72.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$38 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Won
No$3.6k @ 75.4¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Won
No$3.0k @ 79.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Won
No$22 @ 87.0¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
No$2 @ 3.1¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Won
No$12 @ 79.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Won
No$4.9k @ 65.1¢
Denis Yevseyev vs. Yanki Erel: Total Sets O/U 2.5Lost
Under 2.5$3 @ 63.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Lost
No$57 @ 28.9¢

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