← Smart money
0x64a3…450a
ProfitableEdge
+2.7pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
58% @ 55.7¢
Brier
0.176
Resolved
1715
Avg size
$57
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 59% (218/368) | +5% | 368 |
| Sports | 62% (75/121) | +11% | 121 |
| Politics | 62% (44/71) | +1% | 71 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (12/18) | -14% | 18 |
| Crypto | 25% (1/4) | +31% | 4 |
- Other368 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (218/368)
- ROI
- +5%
- Sports121 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (75/121)
- ROI
- +11%
- Politics71 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (44/71)
- ROI
- +1%
- Geopolitics18 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (12/18)
- ROI
- -14%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- +31%
Track record
60% hit · 350/582- 1WIN$136 @ 44.0¢
- Argentina$128 @ 58.0¢
- Under$40 @ 35.7¢
- Over$15 @ 47.0¢
- Under$215 @ 55.5¢
- PARIVISION$220 @ 55.0¢
- BIG$320 @ 53.3¢
- No$317 @ 88.0¢
- ex-RUSTEC$133 @ 57.0¢
- Galorys$84 @ 56.0¢
- Liquid$149 @ 74.5¢
- Liquid$312 @ 71.0¢
- Liquid$368 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 25.0¢
- No$502 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$259 @ 66.0¢
- No$60 @ 20.5¢
- Yes$320 @ 80.0¢
- Hamad Medjedovic$30 @ 38.0¢
- MIBR$54 @ 45.0¢
- No$609 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 65.0¢
- No$302 @ 86.4¢
- Yes$80 @ 80.0¢
- The Otter Side$218 @ 72.7¢
- No$356 @ 89.0¢
- GamerLegion$298 @ 59.6¢
- Team Nemesis$38 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 65.0¢
- Brute$200 @ 62.6¢
- Pibbles Corp$110 @ 55.0¢
- No$945 @ 84.4¢
- Under$40 @ 78.0¢
- No$11 @ 37.0¢
- Argentina$102 @ 77.5¢
- No$104 @ 80.0¢
- No$103 @ 86.0¢
- 1WIN$160 @ 47.1¢
- Yes$21 @ 16.0¢
- Under$72 @ 65.0¢
- No$395 @ 79.0¢
- No$176 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$168 @ 24.0¢
- No$103 @ 86.0¢
- REKONIX$172 @ 49.0¢
- No$276 @ 69.0¢
- FURIA$30 @ 30.0¢
- Team Falcons$162 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$122 @ 61.0¢
- No$201 @ 87.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $500 | 50.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $500 | 50.0¢ |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $206 | 15.5¢ |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Sports | 1WIN | $136 | 44.0¢ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $96 | 48.0¢ |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | No | $94 | 46.8¢ |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $69 | 69.0¢ |
| Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? | Culture | No | $64 | 91.0¢ |
- Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
- No$500 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$206 @ 15.5¢
- 1WIN$136 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$96 @ 48.0¢
- No$94 @ 46.8¢
- Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
- No$64 @ 91.0¢