← Smart money
0x6480…8dc5
SharpEdge
+2.7pp
ROI
+247%
Win rate
4% @ 1.2¢
Brier
0.027
Resolved
2597
Avg size
$7
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 10% (1/10) | +328% | 10 |
| Other | 50% (4/8) | +66% | 8 |
| Politics | 0% (0/7) | -100% | 7 |
- Sports10 bets
- Hit rate
- 10% (1/10)
- ROI
- +328%
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (4/8)
- ROI
- +66%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/7)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
20% hit · 5/25- No$150 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$160 @ 0.2¢
- No$2 @ 7.8¢
- Over$518 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$145 @ 0.2¢
- Under$1.1k @ 52.0¢
- Yes$407 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$212 @ 17.0¢
- Over$492 @ 48.0¢
- Over$1.1k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$630 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$9.4k @ 16.4¢
- Yes$25 @ 0.2¢
- Over$500 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$114 @ 1.2¢
- Over$1.2k @ 51.8¢
- No$1.5k @ 0.1¢
- Yes$31 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$114 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 0.1¢
- No$75 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$939 @ 0.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $259 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $250 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $236 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $200 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.7¢ |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.7¢ |
- Yes$259 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$250 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$236 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$200 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.7¢