← Smart money
0x6385…93f2
ProfitableEdge
-4.7pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
38% @ 42.5¢
Brier
0.144
Resolved
725
Avg size
$83
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (34/72) | +31% | 72 |
| Culture | 55% (12/22) | -9% | 22 |
| Tech | 69% (11/16) | -40% | 16 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +33% | 1 |
- Other72 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (34/72)
- ROI
- +31%
- Culture22 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (12/22)
- ROI
- -9%
- Tech16 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (11/16)
- ROI
- -40%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +33%
Track record
51% hit · 58/113- Yes$330 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$480 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
- No$159 @ 60.0¢
- No$206 @ 85.9¢
- No$1.8k @ 22.7¢
- No$243 @ 33.1¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 69.7¢
- Yes$148 @ 18.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 77.9¢
- Yes$61 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$572 @ 60.8¢
- Yes$81 @ 14.7¢
- No$160 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$585 @ 42.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 70.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 16.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 30.0¢
- No$201 @ 56.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 66.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 82.7¢
- Yes$195 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 87.5¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$750 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$763 @ 89.6¢
- No$91 @ 74.8¢
- Yes$151 @ 29.7¢
- No$1.3k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 65.6¢
- Yes$162 @ 16.6¢
- No$155 @ 28.9¢
- No$10 @ 60.0¢
- No$311 @ 87.3¢
- Yes$270 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$76 @ 31.9¢
- No$689 @ 84.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$147 @ 15.0¢
- No$195 @ 89.0¢
- No$39 @ 51.4¢
- No$51 @ 42.5¢
- Yes$28 @ 70.0¢
- No$32 @ 52.4¢
- Yes$133 @ 58.9¢
- No$615 @ 71.1¢
- Yes$16 @ 9.7¢
- No$750 @ 75.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 69.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | Tech | No | $2.2k | 67.7¢ |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | Culture | No | $1.2k | 87.2¢ |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | Tech | No | $546 | 54.1¢ |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 25 million views in week 1? | Culture | No | $95 | 84.5¢ |
| Will Macron call a referendum by December 31? | Politics | No | $35 | 91.8¢ |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | Tech | No | $26 | 47.7¢ |
| Will MrBeast say "GTA" or "Grand Theft Auto" during his next gaming YouTube video? | Culture | No | $18 | 87.0¢ |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1? | Culture | No | $14 | 80.0¢ |
| Will MrBeast hit 519 million subscribers by September 30? | Culture | No | $7 | 3.0¢ |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | Tech | No | $4 | 67.0¢ |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1? | Culture | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ |
- No$2.2k @ 67.7¢
- No$1.2k @ 87.2¢
- No$546 @ 54.1¢
- No$95 @ 84.5¢
- No$35 @ 91.8¢
- No$26 @ 47.7¢
- No$18 @ 87.0¢
- No$14 @ 80.0¢
- No$7 @ 3.0¢
- No$4 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢