← Smart money
0x6380…9fb0
SharpEdge
+15.9pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
86% @ 70.3¢
Brier
0.048
Resolved
131
Avg size
$404
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +27% | 3 |
| Other | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +27%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 2/4| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | No | $145 | 10.0¢ | Lost |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | $576 | 22.8¢ | Lost |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | $51.9k | 77.7¢ | Won |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | $288 | 87.4¢ | Won |
- No$145 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$576 @ 22.8¢
- Yes$51.9k @ 77.7¢
- Yes$288 @ 87.4¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Politics | Yes | $1.0k | 64.0¢ |
- Yes$1.0k @ 64.0¢