← Smart money
0x62f9…c755
ProfitableEdge
+8.9pp
ROI
+92%
Win rate
48% @ 39.5¢
Brier
0.403
Resolved
613
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 63% (5/8) | -27% | 8 |
| Sports | 43% (3/7) | +112% | 7 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +733% | 1 |
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- -27%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- +112%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +733%
Track record
56% hit · 9/16| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | No | $56 | 75.0¢ | Lost |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics | Athletics | $12 | 60.0¢ | Won |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | No | $7 | 53.0¢ | Won |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | No | $81 | 35.6¢ | Lost |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Under | $2 | 46.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026? | Yes | $2 | 12.0¢ | Won |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | No | $311 | 50.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | No | $509 | 25.0¢ | Won |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | $3 | 53.0¢ | Won |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Philadelphia Phillies | $5 | 56.0¢ | Won |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Seattle Mariners | $21 | 51.0¢ | Lost |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants | Washington Nationals | $3 | 50.0¢ | Lost |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | $4 | 60.0¢ | Won |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | $1 | 67.0¢ | Won |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | $4 | 52.0¢ | Won |
| Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels | Athletics | $2 | 50.0¢ | Lost |
- No$56 @ 75.0¢
- Athletics$12 @ 60.0¢
- No$7 @ 53.0¢
- No$81 @ 35.6¢
- Under$2 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
- No$311 @ 50.0¢
- No$509 @ 25.0¢
- Los Angeles Angels$3 @ 53.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$5 @ 56.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$21 @ 51.0¢
- Washington Nationals$3 @ 50.0¢
- San Diego Padres$4 @ 60.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$1 @ 67.0¢
- Arizona Diamondbacks$4 @ 52.0¢
- Athletics$2 @ 50.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Politics | No | $3 | 60.0¢ |
- No$3 @ 60.0¢