← Smart money
0x62f9…c755
ProfitableEdge
+16.8pp
ROI
+121%
Win rate
55% @ 38.6¢
Brier
0.431
Resolved
531
Avg size
$2
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 50% (3/6) | +131% | 6 |
| Other | 60% (3/5) | -36% | 5 |
- Sports6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +131%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- -36%
Track record
55% hit · 6/11| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | No | $56 | 75.0¢ | Lost |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics | Athletics | $12 | 60.0¢ | Won |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | No | $7 | 53.0¢ | Won |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Seattle Mariners | $21 | 51.0¢ | Lost |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants | Washington Nationals | $3 | 50.0¢ | Lost |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Under | $2 | 46.0¢ | Lost |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | $5 | 53.0¢ | Won |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | $4 | 60.0¢ | Won |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Philadelphia Phillies | $5 | 56.0¢ | Won |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | No | $311 | 50.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | No | $509 | 25.0¢ | Won |
- No$56 @ 75.0¢
- Athletics$12 @ 60.0¢
- No$7 @ 53.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$21 @ 51.0¢
- Washington Nationals$3 @ 50.0¢
- Under$2 @ 46.0¢
- Los Angeles Angels$5 @ 53.0¢
- San Diego Padres$4 @ 60.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$5 @ 56.0¢
- No$311 @ 50.0¢
- No$509 @ 25.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1.4k | 8.0¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Politics | No | $55 | 95.0¢ |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $39 | 15.0¢ |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $29 | 40.0¢ |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Sports | No | $20 | 36.0¢ |
| Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | No | $5 | 51.3¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Politics | No | $3 | 60.0¢ |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 25.0¢ |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Sports | No | $2 | 10.0¢ |
- Yes$1.4k @ 8.0¢
- No$55 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 15.0¢
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$29 @ 40.0¢
- No$20 @ 36.0¢
- No$5 @ 51.3¢
- No$3 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 25.0¢
- No$2 @ 10.0¢