0x62d6…54e8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x62d65b7daf6ef4c96b1e184baebbe5783a9254e8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.5pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

44% @ 39.2¢

Brier

0.143

Resolved

1065

Avg size

$29

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (218/432)	+17%	432
Sports	52% (32/62)	+12%	62
Politics	50% (1/2)	+12%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+13%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other432 bets
Hit rate
50% (218/432)
ROI
+17%
Sports62 bets
Hit rate
52% (32/62)
ROI
+12%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+12%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

51% hit · 252/498

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$162	77.4¢	Won
Will Leavitt say "DEI" or "Transgender" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	$13	57.4¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	No	$28	72.0¢	Won
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$100	2.2¢	Lost
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winner	Nongshim RedForce	$31	62.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 14?	Yes	$5	14.2¢	Won
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	$6	3.5¢	Lost
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	$112	65.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	TYLOO	$24	40.0¢	Lost
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$237	87.0¢	Won
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$10	6.7¢	Lost
Will "Scout" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$16	84.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 7?	Yes	$54	34.5¢	Lost
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Nightblood Gaming	$20	39.0¢	Lost
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$273	53.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 7?	No	$104	87.8¢	Won
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	No	$165	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 26?	Yes	$7	2.7¢	Lost
Will SINNERS Esports qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	$86	55.5¢	Lost
Will SINNERS Esports qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$48	72.1¢	Won
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	$16	8.9¢	Lost
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$26	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?	No	$53	53.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)	No	$29	6.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Angela" or "Merkel" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	No	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Game Handicap: AR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid PH (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	$10	3.1¢	Lost
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	$25	48.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B	LYON	$2	1.2¢	Lost
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Nongshim RedForce	$53	53.0¢	Lost
Will Angryginge & Marlon win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?	No	$43	88.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs	100 Thieves	$56	56.0¢	Won
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?	Yes	$2	5.8¢	Lost
France leading at halftime?	Yes	$152	63.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	No	$3	6.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$212	26.5¢	Lost
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$39	41.3¢	Won
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?	Yes	$680	73.5¢	Won
Will Sentinels qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	$7	17.0¢	Won
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$100	15.3¢	Won
Will "USA" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$155	46.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 46°F or higher on March 9?	Yes	$31	40.1¢	Lost
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$35	29.0¢	Lost
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?	No	$25	31.7¢	Lost
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?	Yes	$32	48.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "RINO" during Kentucky visit?	No	$5	51.0¢	Won
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	$102	51.0¢	Won
Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)	No	$5	78.0¢	Won
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner	Nongshim RedForce	$24	40.0¢	Won
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$142	35.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 23?	Yes	$1	33.0¢	Won

Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Won
Yes$162 @ 77.4¢
Will Leavitt say "DEI" or "Transgender" during the next White House Press Briefing?Won
No$13 @ 57.4¢
Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Won
No$28 @ 72.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.2¢
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 WinnerWon
Nongshim RedForce$31 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 14?Won
Yes$5 @ 14.2¢
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?Lost
No$6 @ 3.5¢
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?Won
Yes$112 @ 65.0¢
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)Lost
TYLOO$24 @ 40.0¢
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-19?Won
Yes$237 @ 87.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
No$10 @ 6.7¢
Will "Scout" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Lost
Yes$16 @ 84.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 7?Lost
Yes$54 @ 34.5¢
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageLost
Nightblood Gaming$20 @ 39.0¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$273 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 7?Won
No$104 @ 87.8¢
Will Xqc & PlaqueBoyMax Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Won
No$165 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 26?Lost
Yes$7 @ 2.7¢
Will SINNERS Esports qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? Lost
No$86 @ 55.5¢
Will SINNERS Esports qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? Won
Yes$48 @ 72.1¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Lost
No$16 @ 8.9¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?Won
Yes$26 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?Lost
No$53 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)Lost
No$29 @ 6.2¢
Will Trump say "Angela" or "Merkel" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Lost
No$2 @ 0.8¢
Game Handicap: AR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid PH (+1.5)Lost
Aurora Gaming$10 @ 3.1¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsLost
Minnesota Twins$25 @ 48.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group BLost
LYON$2 @ 1.2¢
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2Lost
Nongshim RedForce$53 @ 53.0¢
Will Angryginge & Marlon win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?Won
No$43 @ 88.0¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsWon
100 Thieves$56 @ 56.0¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.8¢
France leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$152 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Won
No$3 @ 6.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$212 @ 26.5¢
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Won
Yes$39 @ 41.3¢
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?Won
Yes$680 @ 73.5¢
Will Sentinels qualify for EWC 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 17.0¢
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$100 @ 15.3¢
Will "USA" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?Won
Yes$155 @ 46.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 46°F or higher on March 9?Lost
Yes$31 @ 40.1¢
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$35 @ 29.0¢
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Lost
No$25 @ 31.7¢
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Won
Yes$32 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump say "RINO" during Kentucky visit?Won
No$5 @ 51.0¢
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Won
No$102 @ 51.0¢
Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)Won
No$5 @ 78.0¢
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerWon
Nongshim RedForce$24 @ 40.0¢
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$142 @ 35.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 23?Won
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Jynxzi reach Gold rank in League of Legends by October 2, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$40	90.3¢
Will AloisNL Win the ADC Race 2026?	Sports	Yes	$28	7.0¢
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Sports	Odd	$2	99.0¢

Will Jynxzi reach Gold rank in League of Legends by October 2, 2026?Sports
Yes$40 @ 90.3¢
Will AloisNL Win the ADC Race 2026?Sports
Yes$28 @ 7.0¢
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Sports
Odd$2 @ 99.0¢