0x627a…cdc2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x627a0123bef3dfa869183b806a39c91cf9afcdc2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.7pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

69% @ 62.1¢

Brier

0.098

Resolved

1004

Avg size

$324

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	68% (50/74)	+16%	74
Tech	50% (1/2)	-90%	2
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Politics	100% (1/1)	+23%	1

Other74 bets
Hit rate
68% (50/74)
ROI
+16%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-90%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%

Track record

66% hit · 52/79

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?	No	$367	84.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Lost
Will Trump impose tariffs on Panama in the first 100 days?	Yes	$30	1.3¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?	No	$233	77.6¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2700 in July?	No	$1.2k	42.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?	No	$1.7k	58.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	No	$106	53.0¢	Lost
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	$4.0k	43.7¢	Lost
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	$206	51.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?	No	$4.4k	86.7¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$885	80.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?	No	$1.7k	83.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?	No	$7.2k	75.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?	No	$435	87.0¢	Won
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?	No	$18	76.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?	No	$51.7k	87.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?	No	$8.7k	72.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?	No	$225	75.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?	No	$2.2k	86.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?	No	$1.3k	83.4¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$771	10.8¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?	No	$1.2k	81.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$1.9k	83.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	$4.1k	82.4¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?	No	$27.0k	71.6¢	Won
US military action against Iran before July?	No	$2.4k	60.7¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?	No	$5.2k	86.4¢	Won
Will India lift Indus Water Treaty suspension before July?	No	$2.6k	78.1¢	Won
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?	No	$1.0k	30.2¢	Lost
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?	No	$184	23.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?	No	$1.2k	80.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?	No	$4.1k	82.1¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?	No	$1.8k	88.5¢	Won
Iran Nuke in 2025?	No	$3.6k	87.4¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	$148	18.8¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?	No	$670	67.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?	Yes	$153	17.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?	No	$2.2k	84.6¢	Won
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?	No	$1.7k	81.2¢	Won
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?	No	$520	52.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?	No	$8.5k	58.7¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $210 in May?	No	$534	89.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?	No	$801	80.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	No	$658	65.8¢	Won
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?	Yes	$763	72.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?	No	$2.3k	76.3¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	No	$37.8k	80.7¢	Won
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?	No	$8.3k	82.8¢	Won
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?	Yes	$255	17.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?	No	$2.1k	89.5¢	Won

Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?Won
No$367 @ 84.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Will Trump impose tariffs on Panama in the first 100 days?Lost
Yes$30 @ 1.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Lost
No$233 @ 77.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2700 in July?Lost
No$1.2k @ 42.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Lost
No$1.7k @ 58.0¢
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Lost
No$106 @ 53.0¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Lost
No$4.0k @ 43.7¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Won
Yes$206 @ 51.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?Won
No$4.4k @ 86.7¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
No$885 @ 80.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?Won
No$1.7k @ 83.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?Won
No$7.2k @ 75.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?Won
No$435 @ 87.0¢
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?Won
No$18 @ 76.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Won
No$51.7k @ 87.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?Won
No$8.7k @ 72.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?Won
No$225 @ 75.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?Won
No$2.2k @ 86.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?Won
No$1.3k @ 83.4¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$771 @ 10.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?Won
No$1.2k @ 81.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$1.9k @ 83.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Won
No$4.1k @ 82.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Won
No$27.0k @ 71.6¢
US military action against Iran before July?Lost
No$2.4k @ 60.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?Won
No$5.2k @ 86.4¢
Will India lift Indus Water Treaty suspension before July?Won
No$2.6k @ 78.1¢
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?Lost
No$1.0k @ 30.2¢
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?Won
No$184 @ 23.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?Won
No$1.2k @ 80.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?Won
No$4.1k @ 82.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?Won
No$1.8k @ 88.5¢
Iran Nuke in 2025?Won
No$3.6k @ 87.4¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$148 @ 18.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Lost
No$670 @ 67.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Won
Yes$153 @ 17.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Won
No$2.2k @ 84.6¢
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?Won
No$1.7k @ 81.2¢
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Lost
No$520 @ 52.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Lost
No$8.5k @ 58.7¢
Will Solana reach $210 in May?Won
No$534 @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Lost
No$801 @ 80.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Won
No$658 @ 65.8¢
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Lost
Yes$763 @ 72.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?Won
No$2.3k @ 76.3¢
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Won
No$37.8k @ 80.7¢
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Won
No$8.3k @ 82.8¢
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Lost
Yes$255 @ 17.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?Won
No$2.1k @ 89.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$17.6k	78.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$14.1k	72.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$12.4k	61.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$5.2k	58.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4.3k	86.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$3.2k	83.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.1k	95.6¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.0k	91.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.8k	89.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.7k	82.6¢
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$701	68.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$455	97.7¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$317	53.0¢

Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$17.6k @ 78.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$14.1k @ 72.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$12.4k @ 61.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$5.2k @ 58.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4.3k @ 86.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$3.2k @ 83.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.1k @ 95.6¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.0k @ 91.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.8k @ 89.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.7k @ 82.6¢
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$701 @ 68.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$455 @ 97.7¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$317 @ 53.0¢