0x6261…7ce4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x62617d56180ac7f9e2a2bec5bb56bd24a6897ce4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-3.5pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

31% @ 34.0¢

Brier

0.173

Resolved

1118

Avg size

$110

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (59/145)	+17%	145
Politics	50% (2/4)	+281%	4
Tech	33% (1/3)	-84%	3
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other145 bets
Hit rate
41% (59/145)
ROI
+17%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+281%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-84%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

41% hit · 62/153

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?	No	$33	33.0¢	Lost
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?	Yes	$441	42.0¢	Lost
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$98	0.4¢	Lost
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games)	Yes	$135	19.0¢	Lost
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Eagles	$46	82.0¢	Won
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	No	$186	54.0¢	Won
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	Yes	$1.2k	6.6¢	Lost
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?	No	$15	38.0¢	Won
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	$1.5k	7.8¢	Lost
Will Spain win in 90 min?	Yes	$20	50.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" during WEF Address on January 21?	No	$65	65.0¢	Lost
Will Biden say "Drop out" during July 11 press conference?	No	$90	34.0¢	Won
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$5	1.6¢	Lost
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?	Yes	$366	33.0¢	Won
Will National Rally win the most seats in the National Assembly?	No	$150	20.3¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?	Yes	$293	31.0¢	Lost
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?	No	$154	24.0¢	Lost
Will Vladimir Putin say nuclear in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?	Yes	$528	48.0¢	Won
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday?	No	$170	85.0¢	Lost
Kamala and Trump shake hands at inauguration?	No	$0	31.0¢	Lost
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?	No	$1.2k	78.0¢	Won
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64	Yes	$1.6k	10.0¢	Lost
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?	Yes	$443	83.8¢	Won
Will another coalition form the next German Government?	Yes	$48	4.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Boeing" during WEF Address on January 21?	No	$58	66.6¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?	No	$183	41.0¢	Won
Will the CDU/CSU win by more than 12%?	Yes	$338	12.9¢	Lost
Will Vermont be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?	Yes	$1.6k	72.0¢	Won
Will Reddit IPO at between $7.5b-10b valuation?	Yes	$429	34.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?	Yes	$243	18.0¢	Won
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration?	Yes	$137	16.6¢	Lost
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	$1.2k	39.9¢	Lost
Will Biden say "Project 2025" during July 11 press conference?	No	$65	69.0¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1?	No	$126	75.3¢	Won
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$148	87.0¢	Won
Will Daniel Alegre change pfp by April 1?	No	$844	69.3¢	Won
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-25?	Yes	$10	9.0¢	Lost
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?	Yes	$170	35.5¢	Lost
Will the CDU/CSU receive more than 30% of votes?	Yes	$4	42.0¢	Won
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?	No	$1.6k	17.0¢	Lost
Will Biden say "Old" during drop out speech?	No	$77	40.0¢	Won
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?	Yes	$55	22.0¢	Lost
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?	Yes	$983	72.9¢	Won
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?	Yes	$30	25.0¢	Lost
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?	Yes	$515	63.9¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon Men's?	No	$12	64.4¢	Won
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?	No	$617	83.1¢	Won
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	$1.7k	69.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?	No	$84	43.7¢	Lost
Will Biden say "Jill" during drop out speech?	No	$50	16.0¢	Won

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?Lost
No$33 @ 33.0¢
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?Lost
Yes$441 @ 42.0¢
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$98 @ 0.4¢
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games)Lost
Yes$135 @ 19.0¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerWon
Eagles$46 @ 82.0¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Won
No$186 @ 54.0¢
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 6.6¢
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Won
No$15 @ 38.0¢
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 7.8¢
Will Spain win in 90 min?Won
Yes$20 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" during WEF Address on January 21?Lost
No$65 @ 65.0¢
Will Biden say "Drop out" during July 11 press conference?Won
No$90 @ 34.0¢
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.6¢
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Won
Yes$366 @ 33.0¢
Will National Rally win the most seats in the National Assembly?Lost
No$150 @ 20.3¢
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Lost
Yes$293 @ 31.0¢
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Lost
No$154 @ 24.0¢
Will Vladimir Putin say nuclear in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?Won
Yes$528 @ 48.0¢
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday?Lost
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Kamala and Trump shake hands at inauguration?Lost
No$0 @ 31.0¢
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Won
No$1.2k @ 78.0¢
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 10.0¢
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?Won
Yes$443 @ 83.8¢
Will another coalition form the next German Government?Lost
Yes$48 @ 4.3¢
Will Trump say "Boeing" during WEF Address on January 21?Won
No$58 @ 66.6¢
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Won
No$183 @ 41.0¢
Will the CDU/CSU win by more than 12%?Lost
Yes$338 @ 12.9¢
Will Vermont be Trump's worst state on Super Tuesday?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 72.0¢
Will Reddit IPO at between $7.5b-10b valuation?Won
Yes$429 @ 34.0¢
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? Won
Yes$243 @ 18.0¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? Lost
Yes$137 @ 16.6¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Lost
No$1.2k @ 39.9¢
Will Biden say "Project 2025" during July 11 press conference?Lost
No$65 @ 69.0¢
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1?Won
No$126 @ 75.3¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$148 @ 87.0¢
Will Daniel Alegre change pfp by April 1?Won
No$844 @ 69.3¢
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-25?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson?Lost
Yes$170 @ 35.5¢
Will the CDU/CSU receive more than 30% of votes?Won
Yes$4 @ 42.0¢
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Lost
No$1.6k @ 17.0¢
Will Biden say "Old" during drop out speech?Won
No$77 @ 40.0¢
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?Lost
Yes$55 @ 22.0¢
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?Won
Yes$983 @ 72.9¢
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?Lost
Yes$30 @ 25.0¢
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?Won
Yes$515 @ 63.9¢
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon Men's?Won
No$12 @ 64.4¢
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?Won
No$617 @ 83.1¢
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 69.0¢
Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?Lost
No$84 @ 43.7¢
Will Biden say "Jill" during drop out speech?Won
No$50 @ 16.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	91.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.0k	67.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$300	30.0¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$252	28.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$202	30.0¢
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$100	11.9¢
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Sports	Yes	$30	2.7¢

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 91.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.0k @ 67.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$300 @ 30.0¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$252 @ 28.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$202 @ 30.0¢
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Politics
Yes$100 @ 11.9¢
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Sports
Yes$30 @ 2.7¢