0x6243…e014

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6243d0b16c5030dbddaa5a51d9134337d1c3e014
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.7pp

ROI

+47%

Win rate

7% @ 5.4¢

Brier

0.040

Resolved

3205

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	10% (35/368)	+73%	368
Science	17% (22/133)	+1%	133
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other368 bets
Hit rate
10% (35/368)
ROI
+73%
Science133 bets
Hit rate
17% (22/133)
ROI
+1%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

11% hit · 57/502

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 29?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 29?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	No	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?	No	$8	6.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?	Yes	$2	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	No	$10	12.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?	No	$5	6.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	$41	8.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 17?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 9?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 24?	Yes	$8	9.3¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 31?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	$25	2.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 9?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 14?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?	No	$7	6.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23?	Yes	$3	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 9?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	$5	22.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 24?	Yes	$4	12.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?	No	$46	72.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on September 8?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?	No	$106	38.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 3?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	$8	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 24?	Yes	$9	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?	Yes	$5	6.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 27?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	$17	11.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	$6	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 29?	Yes	$7	4.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	$4	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	No	$15	22.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26?	No	$73	11.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	$2	1.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	Yes	$26	12.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 11?	No	$126	69.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 31?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	$4	20.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22?	No	$4	4.0¢	Lost

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?Lost
No$1 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?Lost
No$8 @ 6.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?Lost
No$10 @ 12.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?Lost
No$5 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?Lost
Yes$41 @ 8.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 9?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 7?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 24?Lost
Yes$8 @ 9.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 31?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 19?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 24?Lost
Yes$25 @ 2.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 9?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 14?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?Lost
No$7 @ 6.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?Won
Yes$5 @ 22.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 24?Lost
Yes$4 @ 12.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?Won
No$46 @ 72.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on September 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?Won
No$106 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 19?Lost
Yes$8 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 24?Lost
Yes$9 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$17 @ 11.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 29?Lost
Yes$7 @ 4.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?Lost
No$15 @ 22.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26?Lost
No$73 @ 11.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?Won
No$2 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?Lost
Yes$26 @ 12.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 11?Won
No$126 @ 69.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 31?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?Won
Yes$4 @ 20.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22?Lost
No$4 @ 4.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?	Science	No	$260	48.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Science	No	$11	8.6¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1	6.3¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1	4.9¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1	4.3¢
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	Culture	Yes	$1	4.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$1	0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$1	0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on September 30?	Science	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$0	0.1¢

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?Science
No$260 @ 48.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?Science
No$11 @ 8.6¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1 @ 6.3¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1 @ 4.9¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1 @ 4.3¢
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Culture
Yes$1 @ 4.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 30?Science
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 30?Science
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on September 30?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 30?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 30?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢