0x623b…b1f8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x623be98a0bb1b065e5cf9c307fc8e62bc6bcb1f8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-2.5pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

4% @ 7.0¢

Brier

0.018

Resolved

586

Avg size

$22

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	40% (14/35)	+28%	35
Politics	20% (2/10)	-87%	10
Culture	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Other	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Sports35 bets
Hit rate
40% (14/35)
ROI
+28%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
20% (2/10)
ROI
-87%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Other3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

31% hit · 16/52

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	$1.2k	89.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$129	64.0¢	Won
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	$17	12.9¢	Lost
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton	Adam Walton	$2	17.0¢	Lost
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$11	2.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$73	72.0¢	Won
Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$89	63.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$137	68.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$191	47.0¢	Won
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5.5k	65.8¢	Won
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$83	83.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	No	$147	73.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Algeria: Team to Take First Corner	Argentina	$7	67.0¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$2	46.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$13	64.3¢	Lost
Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.2k	2.5¢	Lost
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$109	54.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5	Over	$125	62.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$76	76.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$108	53.5¢	Won
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	No	$716	71.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.6k	81.0¢	Won
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$799	72.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	$68	67.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$177	58.7¢	Lost
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	No	$76	75.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$179	59.0¢	Won
James Collier announced as next James Bond?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$65	64.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	$85	85.0¢	Lost
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Lost
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	No	$95	47.0¢	Won
Will Curacao reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second Half	Yes	$2	21.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	$28	71.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$73	73.0¢	Won
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$71	71.0¢	Lost

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 89.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$129 @ 64.0¢
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?Lost
Yes$17 @ 12.9¢
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam WaltonLost
Adam Walton$2 @ 17.0¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.1¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$73 @ 72.0¢
Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$89 @ 63.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$137 @ 68.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$191 @ 47.0¢
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$5.5k @ 65.8¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$83 @ 83.0¢
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Lost
No$147 @ 73.0¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: Team to Take First CornerLost
Argentina$7 @ 67.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
No$2 @ 46.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
No$13 @ 64.3¢
Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 2.5¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Lost
Yes$109 @ 54.0¢
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5Won
Over$125 @ 62.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$76 @ 76.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
No$108 @ 53.5¢
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$716 @ 71.0¢
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 81.0¢
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$799 @ 72.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWon
Over$68 @ 67.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$177 @ 58.7¢
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Lost
No$76 @ 75.0¢
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$179 @ 59.0¢
James Collier announced as next James Bond?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$65 @ 64.0¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$85 @ 85.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$95 @ 47.0¢
Will Curacao reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfLost
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Won
Yes$28 @ 71.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
No$73 @ 73.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$71 @ 71.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	2.5¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Sports	Yes	$320	40.0¢
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Sports	No	$301	43.0¢
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$208	52.0¢
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score	Sports	Yes	$180	45.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	—	No	$170	55.9¢
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	Sports	No	$150	50.0¢
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score	—	No	$110	55.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Sports	Yes	$74	37.0¢
Senegal to win the second half?	—	Yes	$67	67.0¢
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$45	0.9¢
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$41	41.0¢
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$24	24.0¢
Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 0 Iraq?	—	Yes	$23	23.0¢
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 France?	—	Yes	$11	11.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$10	4.6¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$10	10.0¢
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?	—	Yes	$9	9.3¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$9	8.7¢
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$8	8.0¢
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	Yes	$7	22.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	11.0¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	5.6¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$5	16.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$5	16.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4	4.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2	2.4¢
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2	9.0¢
Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$1	27.0¢
Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.4¢

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 2.5¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?Sports
Yes$320 @ 40.0¢
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreSports
No$301 @ 43.0¢
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$208 @ 52.0¢
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreSports
Yes$180 @ 45.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?—
No$170 @ 55.9¢
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreSports
No$150 @ 50.0¢
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score—
No$110 @ 55.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Sports
Yes$74 @ 37.0¢
Senegal to win the second half?—
Yes$67 @ 67.0¢
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$45 @ 0.9¢
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 0 Iraq?—
Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 France?—
Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$10 @ 4.6¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?—
Yes$9 @ 9.3¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$9 @ 8.7¢
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other
Yes$7 @ 22.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 5.6¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$1 @ 27.0¢
Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢