0x61e8…178b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x61e82d62fd3ab290b484fdc6ed5be0e65e7b178b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.9pp

ROI

+45%

Win rate

37% @ 30.6¢

Brier

0.121

Resolved

378

Avg size

$38

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	33% (27/82)	+23%	82
Sports	50% (2/4)	+94%	4
Politics	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Other82 bets
Hit rate
33% (27/82)
ROI
+23%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+94%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

Track record

32% hit · 29/90

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Kidderminster Harriers FC vs. Barrow AFC: O/U 2.5	Over	$258	19.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	$219	72.0¢	Lost
Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	$5	93.0¢	Lost
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$78	7.8¢	Lost
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	$8	42.0¢	Lost
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$50	33.2¢	Lost
Will Cameron Ward be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Kaufland Hangry Knights	$740	82.0¢	Won
Will Dmitry "sh1ro" Sokolov win the HLTV Player of the Year award?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?	Yes	$44	74.0¢	Won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	$3.3k	46.1¢	Won
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?	No	$234	65.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$43	36.0¢	Lost
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?	Yes	$31	6.1¢	Lost
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$10	2.5¢	Lost
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	$19	20.0¢	Lost
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds	Over	$91	29.6¢	Lost
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	$7	35.0¢	Won
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$13	10.1¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$753	59.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$2	2.4¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$53	89.8¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$68	17.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$74	74.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$125	25.0¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$224	56.0¢	Won
Will Robin "⁠ropz⁠" Kool win the HLTV Closer of the Year award	Yes	$58	80.5¢	Won
Will Barcelona place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?	No	$42	74.8¢	Won
Will Barcelona place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?	Yes	$5	30.0¢	Lost
Will Kaike "⁠KSCERATO⁠" Cerato win the HLTV Closer of the Year award	No	$12	77.0¢	Won
Will Kaike "⁠KSCERATO⁠" Cerato win the HLTV Closer of the Year award	Yes	$36	19.3¢	Lost
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	Yes	$154	64.0¢	Lost
Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$36	36.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$409	78.3¢	Lost
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans	Louisville Cardinals	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$90	6.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$398	87.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$60	6.0¢	Lost
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	$308	76.0¢	Lost
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$52	26.0¢	Lost
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$10	66.0¢	Won
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?	Yes	$4	1.7¢	Lost
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	6.4¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	$2	1.9¢	Lost
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$2	7.8¢	Lost
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$104	11.0¢	Lost
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost

Kidderminster Harriers FC vs. Barrow AFC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$258 @ 19.9¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ALost
FURIA$219 @ 72.0¢
Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?Lost
Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$78 @ 7.8¢
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Lost
Yes$8 @ 42.0¢
No airdrop in 2025?Lost
Yes$50 @ 33.2¢
Will Cameron Ward be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsWon
Kaufland Hangry Knights$740 @ 82.0¢
Will Dmitry "sh1ro" Sokolov win the HLTV Player of the Year award?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will Real Madrid place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?Won
Yes$44 @ 74.0¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago CubsWon
Chicago Cubs$3.3k @ 46.1¢
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?Won
No$234 @ 65.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$43 @ 36.0¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?Lost
Yes$31 @ 6.1¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.5¢
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Lost
Yes$19 @ 20.0¢
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsLost
Over$91 @ 29.6¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?Won
Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 10.1¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$753 @ 59.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$53 @ 89.8¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$68 @ 17.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$74 @ 74.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$125 @ 25.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$224 @ 56.0¢
Will Robin "⁠ropz⁠" Kool win the HLTV Closer of the Year awardWon
Yes$58 @ 80.5¢
Will Barcelona place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?Won
No$42 @ 74.8¢
Will Barcelona place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?Lost
Yes$5 @ 30.0¢
Will Kaike "⁠KSCERATO⁠" Cerato win the HLTV Closer of the Year awardWon
No$12 @ 77.0¢
Will Kaike "⁠KSCERATO⁠" Cerato win the HLTV Closer of the Year awardLost
Yes$36 @ 19.3¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Lost
Yes$154 @ 64.0¢
Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Lost
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$36 @ 36.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$409 @ 78.3¢
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansLost
Louisville Cardinals$2 @ 16.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$90 @ 6.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$398 @ 87.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Lost
No$308 @ 76.0¢
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Won
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 66.0¢
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.7¢
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.4¢
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.9¢
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.8¢
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$104 @ 11.0¢
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
O/U 59.5	—	Over	$1.4k	48.3¢
Kidderminster Harriers FC vs. Barrow AFC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$258	19.9¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	—	FURIA	$219	72.0¢
Korea Open: Completed Match: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maya Joint	Sports	No	$110	84.6¢
San Marino vs. Finland: Finland 1st Half O/U 0.5	Sports	Under	$22	89.2¢
Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$5	93.0¢
Korea Open: Completed Match: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse	Sports	No	$3	60.0¢
San Diego 2: Completed Match: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle	Sports	No	$2	80.0¢

O/U 59.5—
Over$1.4k @ 48.3¢
Kidderminster Harriers FC vs. Barrow AFC: O/U 2.5—
Over$258 @ 19.9¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A—
FURIA$219 @ 72.0¢
Korea Open: Completed Match: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maya JointSports
No$110 @ 84.6¢
San Marino vs. Finland: Finland 1st Half O/U 0.5Sports
Under$22 @ 89.2¢
Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
Korea Open: Completed Match: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela RuseSports
No$3 @ 60.0¢
San Diego 2: Completed Match: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry SearleSports
No$2 @ 80.0¢