← Smart money
0x61bc…0e16
SharpEdge
+21.4pp
ROI
+108%
Win rate
64% @ 42.8¢
Brier
0.159
Resolved
42
Avg size
$3
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (8/16) | +126% | 16 |
| Politics | 100% (10/10) | +6% | 10 |
| Crypto | 100% (10/10) | +36% | 10 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +11% | 2 |
- Other16 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (8/16)
- ROI
- +126%
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (10/10)
- ROI
- +6%
- Crypto10 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (10/10)
- ROI
- +36%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +11%
Track record
79% hit · 30/38- No$1 @ 51.2¢
- No$16 @ 34.7¢
- No$1 @ 76.0¢
- Clemson Tigers$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.7¢
- No$10 @ 82.0¢
- No$1 @ 0.4¢
- No$9 @ 89.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.2¢
- No$2 @ 49.0¢
- No$14 @ 77.6¢
- No$1 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 55.0¢
- No$11 @ 89.0¢
- No$5 @ 2.5¢
- No$6 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 19.2¢
- No$10 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 4.4¢
- No$10 @ 84.0¢
- No$10 @ 97.2¢
- No$10 @ 99.8¢
- No$1 @ 98.9¢
- No$10 @ 99.3¢
- No$1 @ 99.9¢
- No$2 @ 99.8¢
- No$5 @ 99.3¢
- No$10 @ 99.5¢
- No$15 @ 99.0¢
- No$10 @ 99.0¢
- No$10 @ 99.3¢
- No$5 @ 99.3¢
- No$5 @ 98.2¢
- No$5 @ 99.7¢
- No$6 @ 99.3¢
- No$1 @ 97.0¢
- No$10 @ 99.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | Crypto | No | $20 | 98.9¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | Crypto | No | $20 | 95.8¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $10 | 97.8¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 95.5¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | Politics | No | $10 | 95.9¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | Crypto | No | $10 | 97.8¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? | Crypto | No | $10 | 96.7¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Politics | No | $10 | 97.9¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | Crypto | No | $10 | 54.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | Crypto | No | $9 | 97.8¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | Crypto | No | $5 | 48.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | Crypto | No | $4 | 98.4¢ |
- No$20 @ 98.9¢
- No$20 @ 95.8¢
- No$10 @ 97.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 95.5¢
- No$10 @ 95.9¢
- No$10 @ 97.8¢
- No$10 @ 96.7¢
- No$10 @ 97.9¢
- No$10 @ 54.0¢
- No$9 @ 97.8¢
- No$5 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
- No$4 @ 98.4¢