0x618c…1d52

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x618c1f99b4524ad376092908ceb1fd1e78761d52
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.3pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

81% @ 69.9¢

Brier

0.054

Resolved

Avg size

$24

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	70% (14/20)	-11%	20
Science	83% (5/6)	-11%	6
Politics	25% (1/4)	+33%	4
Sports	33% (1/3)	+110%	3

Other20 bets
Hit rate
70% (14/20)
ROI
-11%
Science6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
-11%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+33%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+110%

Track record

64% hit · 21/33

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?	No	$104	81.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$6	3.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$303	46.0¢	Won
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?	Yes	$21	53.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	9.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?	No	$33	65.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?	Yes	$289	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	$178	82.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 22?	No	$10	84.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?	Yes	$4	9.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 4?	No	$174	87.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 15?	No	$50	85.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	$255	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 18?	No	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	$11	44.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3?	No	$48	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	$18	88.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 16?	No	$24	83.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 29?	No	$6	62.0¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$1	50.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 26?	No	$79	87.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 5?	No	$12	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?	No	$203	88.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?	No	$90	83.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 8?	No	$39	86.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 1?	No	$64	80.3¢	Won
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Series Winner	Liberty	$1	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 8?	No	$9	87.0¢	Won
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?Lost
No$104 @ 81.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$303 @ 46.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?Won
Yes$21 @ 53.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?Lost
No$33 @ 65.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Lost
Yes$289 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?Won
No$178 @ 82.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 22?Won
No$10 @ 84.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?Won
Yes$4 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 4?Won
No$174 @ 87.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 15?Won
No$50 @ 85.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Won
No$255 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 18?Won
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16?Lost
Yes$11 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3?Won
No$48 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?Won
No$18 @ 88.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 16?Won
No$24 @ 83.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 29?Won
No$6 @ 62.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 50.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 26?Won
No$79 @ 87.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 5?Won
No$12 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?Won
No$203 @ 88.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?Won
No$90 @ 83.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 8?Won
No$39 @ 86.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 1?Won
No$64 @ 80.3¢
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Series WinnerWon
Liberty$1 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 8?Won
No$9 @ 87.0¢
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?	Science	No	$104	81.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?Science
No$104 @ 81.0¢