0x6138…97a0

Specialization by sphere

• Other153 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (88/153)

  ROI

  +25%

• Crypto10 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (5/10)

  ROI

  +77%

• Politics6 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (3/6)

  ROI

  +22%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -42%

• Culture2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Business2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +200%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +12%

• Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$1.3k @ 89.5¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$2.2k @ 71.6¢
• Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 19.0¢
• Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?Lost
  No$160 @ 32.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
  Yes$610 @ 20.3¢
• Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$2.8k @ 79.2¢
• Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?Won
  Yes$759 @ 62.8¢
• Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
  No$780 @ 52.0¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
  Yes$300 @ 15.0¢
• GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Won
  Yes$2.8k @ 63.2¢
• GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 38.2¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
  No$1.7k @ 89.0¢
• Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$2.3k @ 78.3¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Lost
  Yes$210 @ 21.0¢
• Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Won
  Yes$146 @ 77.9¢
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$2.1k @ 33.4¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Lost
  No$560 @ 56.0¢
• Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat TitansWon
  Punjab Kings$2.4k @ 73.4¢
• Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
  No$10.1k @ 67.2¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Lost
  Yes$35 @ 15.0¢
• Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?Won
  No$933 @ 78.4¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
  No$2.0k @ 79.2¢
• Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
  No$356 @ 66.6¢
• Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
  No$871 @ 1.8¢
• Perle Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?Lost
  No$110 @ 11.0¢
• Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
  Yes$303 @ 13.2¢
• Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$3.2k @ 25.2¢
• Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
  No$16 @ 87.0¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$1.0k @ 28.8¢
• Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?Lost
  No$185 @ 37.0¢
• USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Lost
  No$2.7k @ 74.1¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?Won
  Yes$133 @ 75.0¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
  No$225 @ 28.8¢
• Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Lost
  No$1.4k @ 7.8¢
• Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Lost
  No$219 @ 18.0¢
• Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Won
  No$48 @ 61.0¢
• Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
  No$3.6k @ 45.2¢
• Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?Lost
  No$163 @ 12.8¢
• Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Won
  No$6.3k @ 81.5¢
• Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
  No$837 @ 28.9¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$2.0k @ 65.7¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
  No$2.5k @ 82.0¢
• GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
  No$213 @ 62.0¢
• GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
  Yes$195 @ 13.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Won
  No$2.6k @ 84.3¢
• Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?Lost
  No$290 @ 29.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
  No$1.6k @ 78.0¢
• idOS FDV above $50M one day after launch?Won
  No$4 @ 35.0¢
• Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
  No$5.0k @ 51.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
  Yes$1.6k @ 26.2¢

Current positions

• Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$16.5k @ 52.3¢
• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$14.1k @ 60.1¢
• Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$10.3k @ 41.2¢
• Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$9.9k @ 76.1¢
• Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$9.7k @ 90.8¢
• StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$7.0k @ 87.8¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$6.5k @ 49.9¢
• Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$5.1k @ 39.9¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$4.7k @ 59.3¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$4.1k @ 83.0¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$4.1k @ 66.8¢
• StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$4.0k @ 82.6¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$3.7k @ 75.0¢
• StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$3.7k @ 90.8¢
• Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$3.6k @ 83.0¢
• Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.5k @ 69.2¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$3.4k @ 68.0¢
• Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$2.6k @ 68.9¢
• Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$2.2k @ 72.3¢
• Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$1.8k @ 90.0¢
• Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$1.5k @ 1.0¢
• Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$1.3k @ 44.0¢
• Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 1.3¢
• Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$909 @ 48.9¢
• Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$900 @ 0.9¢
• Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$848 @ 50.9¢
• Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$828 @ 80.9¢
• Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$820 @ 65.3¢
• Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$773 @ 78.0¢
• Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$765 @ 51.0¢