← Smart money
0x60ee…548e
ProfitableEdge
+23.4pp
ROI
+94%
Win rate
50% @ 26.9¢
Brier
0.229
Resolved
145
Avg size
$67
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 56% (5/9) | +157% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Tech | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Other | 75% (3/4) | +23% | 4 |
| Sports | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (5/9)
- ROI
- +157%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +23%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
32% hit · 8/25- Yes$75 @ 9.0¢
- No$35 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 41.5¢
- Yes$33 @ 0.5¢
- No$18 @ 16.0¢
- No$292 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$180 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$112 @ 28.0¢
- No$58 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 30.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$934 @ 15.6¢
- Yes$442 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$272 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$386 @ 47.0¢
- No$838 @ 29.1¢
- No$18 @ 16.0¢
- No$285 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 20.5¢
- Yes$120 @ 86.0¢
- No$556 @ 13.2¢
- Yes$55 @ 0.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $410 | 90.3¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $383 | 95.8¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $332 | 78.8¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $299 | 65.6¢ |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $103 | 40.5¢ |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | Crypto | No | $83 | 76.0¢ |
| Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $57 | 96.3¢ |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $55 | 26.0¢ |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $24 | 93.9¢ |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Tech | Yes | $18 | 71.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Crypto | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ |
- Yes$410 @ 90.3¢
- No$383 @ 95.8¢
- Yes$332 @ 78.8¢
- Yes$299 @ 65.6¢
- Yes$103 @ 40.5¢
- No$83 @ 76.0¢
- No$57 @ 96.3¢
- Yes$55 @ 26.0¢
- No$24 @ 93.9¢
- Yes$18 @ 71.0¢
- No$0 @ 0.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.0¢