0x5fbb…0160

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5fbbc8d336c23b5c72cb4a36199629757c360160
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.2pp

ROI

+42%

Win rate

85% @ 69.7¢

Brier

0.162

Resolved

Avg size

$14

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	78% (18/23)	+44%	23
Sports	85% (11/13)	+27%	13
Politics	90% (9/10)	-2%	10
Tech	100% (1/1)	+18%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+2%	1

Other23 bets
Hit rate
78% (18/23)
ROI
+44%
Sports13 bets
Hit rate
85% (11/13)
ROI
+27%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
90% (9/10)
ROI
-2%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+2%

Track record

83% hit · 40/48

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	8.8¢	Lost
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?	No	$1	81.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	$1	89.5¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$1	75.4¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$2	31.5¢	Lost
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?	No	$1	88.0¢	Won
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	No	$6	84.0¢	Won
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	No	$8	87.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	$2	49.0¢	Lost
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?	No	$1	85.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Rafael Jodar	$111	75.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$1	89.1¢	Won
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?	No	$23	87.0¢	Lost
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?	No	$64	83.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	16.1¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Won
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?	No	$150	51.0¢	Won
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	$1	63.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	$6	69.0¢	Won
Canucks vs. Avalanche	Canucks	$1	77.0¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	$31	81.7¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$1	79.0¢	Lost
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk	Mirra Andreeva	$2	57.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	No	$1	89.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5	Under	$41	78.0¢	Won
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-05-13?	No	$1	85.0¢	Won
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?	No	$1	83.0¢	Won
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?	No	$42	77.0¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	No	$1	87.0¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	No	$1	57.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance	Belgium	$122	57.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$10	85.1¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	$1	84.9¢	Won
Set Handicap: Cocciaretto (-1.5) vs Tauson (+1.5)	Tauson	$120	84.5¢	Won
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1	98.3¢	Won
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	$6	98.0¢	Won
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	No	$2	98.5¢	Won
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	$5	99.4¢	Won
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	98.0¢	Won
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$1	97.3¢	Won
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	$1	98.3¢	Won
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	$2	92.0¢	Won
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	$3	96.3¢	Won
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	$3	96.4¢	Won
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$1	98.2¢	Won
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	$3	95.5¢	Won
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	$3	95.8¢	Won
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$3	95.6¢	Won

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.8¢
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?Won
No$1 @ 81.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Lost
Yes$1 @ 89.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$1 @ 75.4¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 31.5¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?Won
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Won
No$6 @ 84.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$8 @ 87.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 49.0¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?Lost
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaWon
Rafael Jodar$111 @ 75.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
No$1 @ 89.1¢
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?Lost
No$23 @ 87.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?Won
No$64 @ 83.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1 @ 16.1¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?Won
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?Won
No$150 @ 51.0¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?Won
Yes$1 @ 63.0¢
Spurs vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$6 @ 69.0¢
Canucks vs. AvalancheWon
Canucks$1 @ 77.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?Won
Yes$31 @ 81.7¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 79.0¢
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta KostyukLost
Mirra Andreeva$2 @ 57.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$1 @ 89.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Won
Under$41 @ 78.0¢
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-05-13?Won
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?Won
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?Won
No$42 @ 77.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Won
No$1 @ 87.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?Won
No$1 @ 57.0¢
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceWon
Belgium$122 @ 57.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Won
Yes$10 @ 85.1¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Won
No$1 @ 84.9¢
Set Handicap: Cocciaretto (-1.5) vs Tauson (+1.5)Won
Tauson$120 @ 84.5¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1 @ 98.3¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Won
No$6 @ 98.0¢
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?Won
No$2 @ 98.5¢
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 99.4¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 98.0¢
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$1 @ 97.3¢
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 98.3¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Won
No$2 @ 92.0¢
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Won
No$3 @ 96.3¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Won
No$3 @ 96.4¢
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
No$1 @ 98.2¢
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Won
No$3 @ 95.5¢
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Won
No$3 @ 95.8¢
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Won
No$3 @ 95.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$5	82.2¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$2	91.0¢
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2	93.8¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1	4.8¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$1	90.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$1	82.0¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Politics	No	$1	88.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	97.8¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$5 @ 82.2¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 91.0¢
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2 @ 93.8¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 4.8¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$1 @ 90.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 97.8¢