0x5f24…c911

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5f2415bccf46327d081e67a142b44adfbb41c911
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+7.5pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

38% @ 30.8¢

Brier

0.238

Resolved

1898

Avg size

$141

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (118/308)	+18%	308
Sports	13% (1/8)	+32%	8

Other308 bets
Hit rate
38% (118/308)
ROI
+18%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
+32%

Track record

38% hit · 119/316

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?	Yes	$285	57.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on April 7?	Yes	$816	15.0¢	Won
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	No	$147	67.9¢	Won
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$2.0k	68.2¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?	Yes	$100	53.0¢	Lost
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-08?	Yes	$100	58.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 1?	Yes	$914	8.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 1?	No	$166	24.9¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$177	3.1¢	Lost
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?	Yes	$100	59.6¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$415	8.3¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$14.5k	56.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?	No	$500	20.0¢	Won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	$100	56.0¢	Won
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?	Yes	$50	47.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?	No	$289	20.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	$60	6.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 18?	No	$2	35.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?	Yes	$851	14.2¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on April 7?	Yes	$427	7.8¢	Won
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$2.3k	59.7¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	$410	20.5¢	Lost
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?	Yes	$2.2k	14.0¢	Lost
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$1.2k	40.6¢	Lost
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$410	41.0¢	Won
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	Yes	$540	41.2¢	Lost
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?	Yes	$1.1k	51.3¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 31?	No	$401	14.3¢	Lost
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?	Yes	$100	89.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 30?	No	$231	8.4¢	Lost
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)	Vitality	$370	37.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 5?	No	$1.0k	27.0¢	Lost
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?	Yes	$100	30.0¢	Lost
Will Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?	Yes	$163	42.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26?	No	$370	7.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?	No	$29	1.6¢	Lost
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	$937	36.5¢	Lost
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$764	25.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?	No	$645	6.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 15-21?	Yes	$1.5k	37.0¢	Lost
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?	Yes	$292	14.6¢	Won
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	Yes	$336	27.3¢	Lost
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	$72	5.2¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?	No	$12.9k	76.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 15?	Yes	$176	8.8¢	Lost
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	Yes	$126	54.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 19?	Yes	$1.9k	39.0¢	Won
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-11-01?	Yes	$193	65.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 7?	Yes	$1.2k	22.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs	Tundra Esports	$6.6k	66.0¢	Won

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?Lost
Yes$285 @ 57.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on April 7?Won
Yes$816 @ 15.0¢
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Won
No$147 @ 67.9¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
No$2.0k @ 68.2¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?Lost
Yes$100 @ 53.0¢
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-08?Won
Yes$100 @ 58.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 1?Lost
Yes$914 @ 8.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 1?Lost
No$166 @ 24.9¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
Yes$177 @ 3.1¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?Lost
Yes$100 @ 59.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$415 @ 8.3¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$14.5k @ 56.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?Won
No$500 @ 20.0¢
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Won
Arsenal FC$100 @ 56.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?Lost
Yes$50 @ 47.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?Won
No$289 @ 20.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 18?Lost
No$2 @ 35.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?Won
Yes$851 @ 14.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on April 7?Won
Yes$427 @ 7.8¢
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
No$2.3k @ 59.7¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?Lost
Yes$410 @ 20.5¢
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 14.0¢
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
No$1.2k @ 40.6¢
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
Yes$410 @ 41.0¢
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? Lost
Yes$540 @ 41.2¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 51.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 31?Lost
No$401 @ 14.3¢
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?Won
Yes$100 @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 30?Lost
No$231 @ 8.4¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Won
Vitality$370 @ 37.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 5?Lost
No$1.0k @ 27.0¢
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?Lost
Yes$100 @ 30.0¢
Will Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?Lost
Yes$163 @ 42.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26?Lost
No$370 @ 7.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?Lost
No$29 @ 1.6¢
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Lost
No$937 @ 36.5¢
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
No$764 @ 25.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?Lost
No$645 @ 6.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 15-21?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 37.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?Won
Yes$292 @ 14.6¢
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?Lost
Yes$336 @ 27.3¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Lost
Yes$72 @ 5.2¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?Won
No$12.9k @ 76.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 15?Lost
Yes$176 @ 8.8¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Won
Yes$126 @ 54.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 19?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 39.0¢
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-11-01?Won
Yes$193 @ 65.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 7?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 22.0¢
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsWon
Tundra Esports$6.6k @ 66.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	No	$77	18.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$50	10.0¢
Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$48	63.0¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
No$77 @ 18.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$48 @ 63.0¢