← Smart money
0x5ee2…de75
ProfitableEdge
-9.2pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
24% @ 33.1¢
Brier
0.166
Resolved
355
Avg size
$94
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 16% (4/25) | -68% | 25 |
| Sports | 54% (13/24) | +75% | 24 |
| Politics | 20% (1/5) | -59% | 5 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other25 bets
- Hit rate
- 16% (4/25)
- ROI
- -68%
- Sports24 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (13/24)
- ROI
- +75%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -59%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
32% hit · 18/56- Yes$99 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$199 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$118 @ 13.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 82.1¢
- Yes$83 @ 26.5¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 45.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 24.8¢
- No$202 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 19.0¢
- Australia$1.0k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$73 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$218 @ 7.1¢
- Yes$494 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 18.3¢
- Yes$424 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$137 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 31.0¢
- No$966 @ 89.3¢
- No$74 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$177 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 81.1¢
- Yes$114 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$536 @ 13.6¢
- Belgium$53 @ 26.8¢
- Egypt$346 @ 84.0¢
- No$23 @ 35.5¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 74.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$52 @ 21.9¢
- Yes$384 @ 42.5¢
- Yes$237 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$15 @ 24.3¢
- Yes$7.0k @ 50.4¢
- Yes$944 @ 29.8¢
- Yes$225 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$325 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$110 @ 26.3¢
- Argentina$1.2k @ 78.0¢
- Yes$943 @ 6.6¢
- No$131 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$267 @ 16.6¢
- Yes$928 @ 88.3¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$226 @ 77.0¢
- No$14 @ 84.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $154 | 2.7¢ |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $101 | 4.2¢ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $98 | 1.2¢ |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | Yes | $27 | 16.0¢ |
| Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | Sports | Yes | $4 | 35.0¢ |
- Yes$154 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$101 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$98 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$27 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 35.0¢