0x5ecf…af11

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5ecf845b70ac1ea66adbe0f48629effc83a8af11
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.4pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

55% @ 43.2¢

Brier

0.174

Resolved

1517

Avg size

$18

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (114/217)	+28%	217
Sports	41% (58/141)	+6%	141
Science	32% (18/56)	-23%	56
Politics	64% (7/11)	+13%	11
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-98%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other217 bets
Hit rate
53% (114/217)
ROI
+28%
Sports141 bets
Hit rate
41% (58/141)
ROI
+6%
Science56 bets
Hit rate
32% (18/56)
ROI
-23%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
64% (7/11)
ROI
+13%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-98%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

46% hit · 198/428

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 27?	No	$75	83.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 26?	No	$33	91.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 26?	No	$150	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 26?	No	$146	93.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$21	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 26?	No	$44	87.0¢	Won
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$57	26.3¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$11	3.6¢	Lost
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5	Under	$67	66.0¢	Won
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez	Sebastian Baez	$4	1.8¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$105	70.0¢	Won
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$41	7.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	$39	49.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 29?	No	$40	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?	No	$20	33.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 19?	Yes	$12	12.9¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$22	80.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$39	85.2¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$100	9.9¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Under	$266	45.1¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$17	8.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	$15	31.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$12	22.0¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$55	27.0¢	Lost
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5	Under	$41	8.8¢	Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$238	48.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?	No	$137	38.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 18?	No	$374	24.5¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	Paraguay	$311	44.0¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Lost
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$18	4.5¢	Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?	No	$20	82.2¢	Won
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?	Yes	$10	82.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs	MAGICOS	$37	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 21?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Morocco	$17	53.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Under	$194	51.3¢	Won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Côte dIvoire	$186	60.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs	Team Falcons	$213	70.5¢	Won
Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$19	0.8¢	Lost
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Bosnia and Herzegovina	$39	49.4¢	Won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Qatar	$211	39.4¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$48	5.2¢	Lost
France vs. England: O/U 7.5	Over	$40	56.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$30	14.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 16?	Yes	$7	12.7¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$369	50.3¢	Won
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	No	$5	15.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 27?Lost
No$75 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 26?Won
No$33 @ 91.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 26?Won
No$150 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 26?Won
No$146 @ 93.0¢
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$21 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 26?Won
No$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$57 @ 26.3¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.6¢
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Won
Under$67 @ 66.0¢
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian BaezLost
Sebastian Baez$4 @ 1.8¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$105 @ 70.0¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?Lost
Yes$41 @ 7.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Steve Erceg$39 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 29?Won
No$40 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?Won
No$20 @ 33.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 19?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.9¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$22 @ 80.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$39 @ 85.2¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$100 @ 9.9¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Won
Under$266 @ 45.1¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$17 @ 8.5¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerLost
Spirit$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Lost
No$15 @ 31.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$12 @ 22.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$55 @ 27.0¢
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$41 @ 8.8¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$238 @ 48.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?Won
No$137 @ 38.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 18?Lost
No$374 @ 24.5¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
Paraguay$311 @ 44.0¢
Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Lost
Yes$18 @ 4.5¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Won
No$20 @ 82.2¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Won
Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 PlayoffsLost
MAGICOS$37 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 21?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWon
Morocco$17 @ 53.0¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Won
Under$194 @ 51.3¢
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Won
Côte dIvoire$186 @ 60.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsWon
Team Falcons$213 @ 70.5¢
Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
Yes$19 @ 0.8¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Won
Bosnia and Herzegovina$39 @ 49.4¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Lost
Qatar$211 @ 39.4¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$48 @ 5.2¢
France vs. England: O/U 7.5Lost
Over$40 @ 56.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Lost
Yes$30 @ 14.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 16?Lost
Yes$7 @ 12.7¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$369 @ 50.3¢
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Lost
No$5 @ 15.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 27?	Science	No	$75	83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27?	Science	No	$74	91.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 27?	Science	No	$70	93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 27?	Science	No	$5	91.0¢
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$3	17.0¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Crypto	No	$2	61.0¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	42.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 27?Science
No$75 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27?Science
No$74 @ 91.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 27?Science
No$70 @ 93.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 27?Science
No$5 @ 91.0¢
Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto
No$2 @ 61.0¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 42.0¢